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Yangiliklar

Australia, NZ dollars get timely support from US rate bets

Australia, NZ dollars get timely support from US rate bets By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Sept 17 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars held firm on Tuesday having got a lift from wagers on an outsized U.S. rate cut this week, which helped both currencies dodge a bearish break of chart bulwarks. The Aussie was steady at $0.6747 AUD=D3 , having bounced 0.7% overnight from support at $0.6689. Resistance now lies at $0.6767 and $0.6823. The kiwi dollar idled at $0.6190 NZD=D3 , after also rally
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Australia, NZ dollars struggle for direction at start of pivotal Fed week

Australia, NZ dollars struggle for direction at start of pivotal Fed week SYDNEY, Sept 16 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars struggled for direction on Monday amid thin liquidity, although their near-term fate is almost entirely riding on the size of the U.S. rate cut this week, with bets of a large half-point move boosting bonds. Holidays in China, Japan, South Korea and Indonesia made for thin conditions.
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Australia, NZ dlrs set for weekly gain as equities, commodities rally

Australia, NZ dlrs set for weekly gain as equities, commodities rally SYDNEY, Sept 13 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars were headed for weekly gains on Friday following a rally in equities and commodities, while revived bets for an outsized U.S. rate cut next week also weighed on the greenback. The Aussie AUD=D3 held at $0.6727, having jumped 0.7% overnight to move further away from a one-month low of $0.6620 hit earlier in the week.
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FX options wrap - FX risks fade amid central bank cuts

BUZZ-FX options wrap - FX risks fade amid central bank cuts G10 FX option implied volatility has fallen quite sharply since the U.S. NFP and CPI data removed much of the uncertainty about the U.S. rate path, which in turn, has aided a broader risk recovery. Benchmark 1-month expiry implied volatility consequently trades new post data lows . However, o ne-week expiry options now include the U.S.
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U.S. Fed flashes up on the FX options radar

BUZZ-COMMENT-U.S. Fed flashes up on the FX options radar Sept 12 (Reuters) - Broader FX volatility risk premiums have fallen since the U.S. NFP and CPI data releases, with the exception of one-week expiries . These have surged due to the inclusion of the Sept. 18 U.S. Federal Reserve policy decision, which has the potential to trigger increased FX realised volatility.
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Dollar firm after inflation data douse bets for big Fed cut

FOREX-Dollar firm after inflation data douse bets for big Fed cut Updates prices as of 0505 GMT By Kevin Buckland TOKYO, Sept 12 (Reuters) - The dollar traded near a four-week high versus the euro on Thursday after signs of some stickiness in U.S. inflation reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve would avoid a super-sized interest rate cut next week.
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Australia, NZ dollars find support as risk sentiment steadies

Australia, NZ dollars find support as risk sentiment steadies SYDNEY, Sept 12 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars found some support on Thursday as a rebound in world stock markets and expectations for a European rate cut helped steady risk sentiment. The European Central Bank is considered certain to ease by 25 basis points later on Thursday with the only question being whether it leaves the door open to cuts in October and December as well.
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FX options wrap - ECB, EUR direction, 13 billion, JPY 140, value

BUZZ-FX options wrap - ECB, EUR direction, 13 billion, JPY 140, value Initially tame U.S. CPI FX volatility risk premium was marginally higher before Wednesday's slightly softer than expected data, which makes a 25bpts U.S. rate cut more likely than 50bps next week. The pre data premium rise in USD/JPY came after more JPY strength took the pair closer to 140.00 in Asia , with other dates higher, too.
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NZ dollar, Japan bonds zap trend hedge fund August returns, bank data shows

UPDATE 2-NZ dollar, Japan bonds zap trend hedge fund August returns, bank data shows Updates paragraph 12 with SEB Asset Management declines to comment By Nell Mackenzie LONDON, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Trend-following hedge funds took a hit from their bets on the New Zealand dollar and Japanese stocks and bonds in August, when global markets were rattled by extreme volatility, according to Societe Generale data seen by Reuters.
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NZ dollar, Japan bonds zap trend hedge fund August returns, bank data shows

UPDATE 2-NZ dollar, Japan bonds zap trend hedge fund August returns, bank data shows Updates paragraph 12 with SEB Asset Management declines to comment By Nell Mackenzie LONDON, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Trend-following hedge funds took a hit from their bets on the New Zealand dollar and Japanese stocks and bonds in August, when global markets were rattled by extreme volatility, according to Societe Generale data seen by Reuters.
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Australia, NZ dlrs wary as US inflation to impact easing outlook

Australia, NZ dlrs wary as US inflation to impact easing outlook By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Sept 11 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars were on hold on Wednesday awaiting U.S. inflation figures that could affect the pace of policy easing there, while both currencies continued to lose ground to the safe-haven Japanese yen. The Aussie was flat at $0.6656 AUD=D3 , having barely moved overnight.
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NZ dollar, Japan bonds zap trend hedge fund August returns, bank data shows

NZ dollar, Japan bonds zap trend hedge fund August returns, bank data shows By Nell Mackenzie LONDON, Sept 10 (Reuters) - Trend-following hedge funds took a hit from their bets on the New Zealand dollar and Japanese stocks and bonds in August, when global markets were rattled by extreme volatility, according to Societe Generale data seen by Reuters on Tuesday.
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FX options wrap - Looming event risks and FX expectations

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Looming event risks and FX expectations Sept 10 (Reuters) - Implied volatility has been on the back foot as FX volatility risk premiums were priced out in the wake of Friday's mixed U.S. jobs data, which left FX in familiar ranges. However, Wednesday's U.S. CPI data and a host of major G10 central bank policy announcements are limiting potentially deeper declines .
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Options show extent of FX risk from U.S. election debate and CPI

BUZZ-COMMENT-Options show extent of FX risk from U.S. election debate and CPI Sept 10 (Reuters) - Overnight expiry FX options now include Tuesday's U.S. election debate between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris and Wednesday's U.S. CPI data, with related prices showing the extent of the perceived risk to FX. FX volatility is an unknown, yet a key parameter of an FX option premium, so dealers use implied volatility as a substitute.
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Australia, NZ dollars struggle on weak China imports, local job worries

Australia, NZ dollars struggle on weak China imports, local job worries SYDNEY, Sept 10 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars were on the defensive on Tuesday, pressured by persistent concerns about China's economy and worries about a sharp slowdown in the labour market Down Under. The Aussie AUD=D3 was subdued at $0.6657, having dipped 0.2% overnight.
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FX options wrap - FX outlook shifts after U.S. jobs

BUZZ-FX options wrap - FX outlook shifts after U.S. jobs There has been a mild shift in sentiment since Friday's mixed U.S. jobs data lowered the probability of a 50bps U.S. Federal Reserve rate cut on Sept 18. Demand and premium for FX options to protect against near-term FX volatility and USD weakness was strong ahead of Friday's mixed U.S. jobs data, but it has been quick to revert lower since, despite the impending U.S.
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Dollar recovers as traders scale back bets of big Fed rate cut

CORRECTED-FOREX-Dollar recovers as traders scale back bets of big Fed rate cut Corrects paragraph 14 to say the ECB kicked off rate cutting cycle in June, not July Dollar firms against yen after four-day decline Investors focus on U.S. CPI, ECB decision Yuan slips on deflation concerns By Rae Wee and Sruthi Shankar Sept 9 (Reuters) - The dollar recouped some of last week's losses on Monday as investors looked ahead to U.S.
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Standout FX option strike expiries this week

BUZZ-COMMENT-Standout FX option strike expiries this week Sept 9 (Reuters) - The cash hedging of soon-to-expire FX option strikes can have a magnetic effect on FX price action, adding to nearby support/resistance. There are some huge strikes expiring on Monday and for the week ahead. The closest and largest EUR/USD strikes expiring on Monday are at 1.1050 on 2.4 billion euros and 1.1100 on 1.3 billion euros.
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The big dollar short is a growing issue

BUZZ-COMMENT-The big dollar short is a growing issue Sept 9 (Reuters) - Traders almost doubled their bet against the dollar to over $17 billion in the week ending Sept 3. This big gamble will have a growing influence on the direction of the U.S. currency before and after the September meeting of the Federal Reserve which is expected to result in the first rate reduction of a new easing cycle.
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Dollar steadies, yen slips as traders grapple with Fed rate-cut outlook

FOREX-Dollar steadies, yen slips as traders grapple with Fed rate-cut outlook Updates at 0500 GMT By Rae Wee SINGAPORE, Sept 9 (Reuters) - The dollar recovered some lost ground on Monday while the yen pared its safe-haven gains, as investors who were undecided on the scale of a Federal Reserve rate cut expected later this month looked to this week's U.S.
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