XM does not provide services to residents of the United States of America.

Technical Analysis – USDJPY plunges towards 200-day SMA



  • USDJPY hits lowest since May

  • Immediate support at 200-day SMA

  • Technical oscillators indicate more losses

USDJPY has been declining considerably after the pullback from the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at 157.90, sending the markets towards a fresh almost two-month low near the 200-day SMA. The losses over the past four sessions have reached 3.8%, taking the price well below its uptrend line.

The technical oscillators are endorsing this bearish view. The stochastics have slipped below the 20 level, while the RSI has crossed into oversold territory.

Immediate support level could come from the 200-day SMA near 151.80, which may act as a strong turning point at the market. A slip beneath this level could meet the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level of the up leg from 140.20 to 161.94 at 151.10 and steeper downside movements could change the broader outlook to bearish.

On the other hand, a potential bounce off could take the market up to the 38.2% Fibonacci of 153.65 ahead of the 154.50 resistance. Even higher, the 23.6% Fibonacci of 156.86 and the 157.90 bar are coming next.

All in all, USDJPY is showing signs for more downside pressures, but the price needs to plunge beneath the 200-day SMA.

Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.

All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.

Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.

Risk Warning: Your capital is at risk. Leveraged products may not be suitable for everyone. Please consider our Risk Disclosure.