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XM Research - 15 hours ago

Weekly Technical Outlook – EURUSD, GBPUSD, Gold

EURUSD tests June's peak as ECB rate decision looms GBPUSD pauses impressive rally near 1.3000 ahead of CPI data Gold resumes weak momentum after closing above 2,400   US retail sales --> Gold It was a shocking weekend of a failed assassination attempt against Donald Trump, which caused a heated moment in the US political landscape.
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XM Research - 15 hours ago

Bullish pound eyes $1.30 ahead of UK inflation test – Preview

June CPI numbers the highlight of this week’s UK data flurry Could the Bank of England cut interest rates next month? Pound undeterred as it extends July gains Job stats and retail sales to follow Wednesday’s CPI report (06:00 GMT) On target Inflation in the UK peaked much higher than in other major economies during the height of the energy crisis in 2022. Logic would therefore dictate that it would take longer to come down, and that is exactly what happened in 2023, to t
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XM Research - 19 hours agoBullish

Technical Analysis – Gold’s rally stalls at 7-week high

Gold jumped to its highest level since May 22 last week But fails to extend rally, trading flat in past couple of sessions Despite latest weakness, oscillators remain positively tilted Gold has been experiencing solid gains since late June, with the break above its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) and restrictive trendline brightening the short-term technical outlook.
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XM Research - 21 hours agoBullish

Technical Analysis – EURUSD jumps to a fresh 1-month high

EURUSD edges higher after break above SMAs The pair advances to its highest level since June 4 Oscillators suggest that bullish forces are strengthening EURUSD has been in a steady uptrend after the bullish breakout from its downward sloping trendline in place since December 2023. Moreover, the pair conquered both its 50- and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs), surging to a fresh one-month peak on Friday.
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XM Research - 21 hours ago

Market Comment – A confused market tries to find its footing

Dollar is steadier following the weekend’s events Chairman Powell speaks today as outlook becomes challenging Bitcoin benefits from developments and gold remains above $2,400 China’s CPC plenary starts today and could generate headlines Market digests the events of the weekend A numb start to the trading week as the market is digesting the weekend’s events regarding the US Presidential candidate Donald Trump.
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XM Research - 4 days ago

Bitcoin decouples from stocks amid supply overabundance – Crypto News

Bitcoin struggles as governments and Mt. Gox clients offload coins Ethereum under pressure after ETF launch is delayed Bitcoin’s correlation with tech stocks ebbs, weaker dollar aids Supply overhang rattles Bitcoin Supply overhang rattles Bitcoin The crypto market has not been in its best shape lately, with Bitcoin shedding a significant part of its 2024 rally and falling below its 200-day simple moving average (SMA) for the first time since October 2023. Clearly, there has be
XM Research - 4 days ago

A September Fed rate cut could lead to an easing spree during end-2024

Market prices in at least two rate cuts from Fed ECB, BoE expected to follow suit despite divergent economic conditions SNB and BoC could ease further; RBNZ possibly close to a summer rate cut BoJ and RBA could surprise with rate hikes during 2024 We are halfway into 2024 and the countdown for this year’s key event, the US presidential election, has already started.
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XM Research - 4 days ago

Technical Analysis – AUDUSD rallies to meet 6-month high near 0.6800

AUDUSD creates higher highs and higher lows Momentum oscillators show mixed signs AUDUSD skyrocketed to another fresh six-month high of 0.6797 on Thursday, creating the ninth consecutive green day. Since mid-April, the pair has been developing an upward trend. However, the technical oscillators show mixed signs. The stochastic is heading south, but the RSI is crossing the 70 level to the upside.
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XM Research - 4 days ago

Week Ahead – ECB set to hold rates, plethora of data on the way

ECB is not expected to cut in July but will it signal one for next meeting? Retail sales will be the main highlight in the United States UK CPI report will be vital for BoE’s August decision China GDP data to kickstart busy week ECB meets amid sticky inflation The European Central Bank concludes its two-day policy meeting on Thursday but no change in interest rates is anticipated after trimming them by 25 basis points at last month’s gathering.
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XM Research - 4 days agoNeutral

Technical Analysis – USDCAD trades sideways as 200-SMA provides support

USDCAD is rangebound in the past few sessions The 200-day SMA caps the pair’s downside Momentum indicators are negatively tilted USDCAD had been hovering around its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) for the past two months, appearing incapable of clearing this hurdle. This repeated inability triggered a decisive break below the 50-day SMA on July 3, with the pair trading undecided since then, supported by the 200-day SMA.
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XM Research - 4 days agoBullish

Technical Analysis – GBPJPY hits 20-day SMA after multi-year high

GBPJPY may start bearish correction Stochastics move down; RSI ticks up GBPJPY suffered significant losses following an aggressive rally to the multi-year high of 208.10. The pair found immediate support at the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) of 203.80, keeping the bias bullish for now. Technically, the stochastic oscillator is div
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XM Research - 4 days ago

Market Comment – Weaker US CPI sends US stocks into a tailspin

Top US stocks fall despite the weaker CPI report Dollar suffers but euro/dollar fails to make significant gains Gold climbs above the $2,400 level again Yen benefits from dollar weakness and possible intervention The September Fed rate cut is a step closer  The US inflation report for June managed to produce a downside surprise.
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XM Research - 5 days agoNeutral

WTI futures pull back from 2-month high But meet strong support at 50.0% Fibonacci Momentum indicators ease but remain positive   WTI oil futures (August delivery) have been in a steady uptrend since early June, posting a fresh two-month high last week. Although the price experienced a pullback from its recent high, it quickly found support at 81.50, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the 95.02-67.97 downleg.
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XM Research - 5 days agoBearish

Technical Analysis – BTCUSD is held down by 200-day SMA

BTCUSD dropped to a fresh 4-month low last week Attempts for recovery hit a wall at 200-day SMA Oscillators improve slightly, but still negatively tilted BTCUSD (Bitcoin) has been experiencing a strong selloff since the beginning of June, retreating to its lowest level since February 27. Although the price managed to find its feet and attempted to recoup some losses, the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) has been acting as an impenetrable ceiling.
XM Research - 5 days ago

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD battles with 1.2860-1.2890 area

GBPUSD shows some improvement in near term 200-week SMA lies near the current high GBPUSD is facing a notable bullish movement after the bounce off the 1.2610 support level, challenging again the 1.2860-1.2890 area, where the 200-week simple moving average (SMA) also lies. According to technical oscillators, the stochastic is heading upwards above the 80 level, creating a bullish crossover within its %K and %D lines.
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XM Research - 5 days ago

Midweek Technical Look – EURUSD, AUDUSD, GBPJPY

EURUSD still finds strong support at 1.0800 AUDUSD posts new 6-month high  GBPJPY records extraordinary bullish rally towards uncharted levels
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XM Research - 5 days ago

Market Comment – Wounded dollar awaits inflation numbers

Powell’s testimony dents the dollar US CPI data could deepen the wounds Pound gains as BoE’s Pill dampens August cut bets Wall Street at new highs, gold gains as well Dollar softens ahead of CPI data The US dollar drifted south against most of its major peers on Wednesday, gaining some ground only against the yen, the franc, and the kiwi.
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XM Research - 5 days agoBullish

Technical Analysis – AUDUSD posts a fresh 6-month high

AUDUSD breaks decisively above sideways pattern The price jumps to its highest since January 2024 Oscillators are flagging overbought conditions AUDUSD had been trading in a neutral range for more than two months, unable to adopt a clear directional impetus. However, in the last few sessions, the bulls have managed to propel the pair above that rangebound structure, sending it to a six-month high on Thursday.
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XM Research - 5 days agoNeutral

US 30 index in the green again following a few mixed sessions It remains a tad below its recent all-time high Momentum indicators support the current uptrend The US 30 cash index is in the green again today, following some mixed sessions. The bulls are probably feeling confident again as the index is 4.5% higher from its May 30 trough, and a tad below its May 20 high of 40,094. The increased chances of an early Fed rate cut have boosted buying appetite, but today’s critical CPI r
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XM Research - 6 days agoBullish

Citigroup shares post 28-month high ahead of earnings Short-term oscillators are within overbought territories There is high risk of a correction in case financials dissapoint   Citigroup’s stock has been staging a V-shaped recovery since its 2023 bottom in October, posting consecutive multi-month highs. After two months of rangebound trading, the stock posted a fresh 28-month peak of 66.70 on Wednesday, two days ahead of its Q2 earnings release.
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