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Analysis

Fed rate pause, Nvidia disappointment weigh on Wall Street - Stock Markets

Nvidia earnings fail to re-energize Wall Street bullsFed’s December rate cut hangs in the balanceGeopolitical risks also keep positive sentiment in checkNvidia beats earnings expectationsAI darling, Nvidia, delivered stellar earnings results on Wednesday after the market close, beating both revenue and earnings per share forecasts. The company also issued fourth quarter guidance that was above analysts’ estimates.However, investors had clearly set even higher expectations as the stock fell i
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Daily Comment – Nvidia fails to lift markets, dollar stands tall

Stocks remain directionless even after stellar earnings by NvidiaDeclining odds for December Fed rate cut weigh on marketsDollar holds near highs, yen rallies, Bitcoin soars to $97,000Nvidia can’t satisfy lofty expectationsEquity markets continue to trade with lackluster momentum, struggling for direction even after AI giant, Nvidia, announced outstanding third quarter earnings.
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Tech rally turns to selloff ahead of NFP and US election - Stock Markets

S&P 500 headed for second weekly dip as gains turn to lossesNasdaq pulls back from record highs as AI jitters returnApple earnings add to outlook worries but Amazon impressesTech rally stumblesIt’s been a turbulent week for Wall Street as, despite a positive start, renewed concerns about excessive spending on artificial intelligence (AI) dragged Big Tech stocks lower mid-week.
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Daily Comment – Wall Street lifted by earnings as election jitters boost gold

US dollar and gold remain elevated as markets bet on Trump winBut Nasdaq hits record amid optimism about tech earningsSlew of data awaited out of the US and Eurozone, UK budget also eyedUS election angst still driving sentiment  Growing anxiety about the US presidential election continued to set the market mood on Wednesday, with Republican candidate Donald Trump extending his gains in the polls.
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Daily Comment – Dollar maintains gains amidst fragile market conditions

Markets prepare for a 10-day long rollercoaster rideFocus today on earnings but key US data in sightGold and bitcoin rally, oil suffers, and 10-year US yield reaches 4.3%Yen suffering might linger as party negotiations continueImportant data week, Alphabet reports todayMarket participants are gradually preparing for an action-packed week, with Friday’s US jobs report being the key event, that also includes some major earnings releases.
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Daily Comment – Wall Street hits new record after Fed minutes, CPI eyed next

Fed minutes show split over September cut but Wall Street ralliesDollar eases from near 2-month high as focus turns to CPI reportGold and oil steadier after recent lossesFed minutes add little clarity The minutes of the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting published on Wednesday did little to end the uncertainty about the pace of rate reductions over the coming months.
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Stocks at a precarious position ahead of key US data – Stock Markets

Equity indices enjoyed a decent third quarter, led by Chinese stocksS&P 500 completed five consecutive positive monthsQ3 earnings announcements to gradually take centre stageUS equity indices look vulnerable at this stage Stocks fared decently in Q3, outlook is challenging The third quarter (Q3) of 2024 was a plentiful one, with the key central banks finally embarking on their monetary policy easing journey.
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S&P 500 hits another record on Fed put but tech stocks look shaky – Stock Markets

S&P 500 and Dow Jones close at new peaks but Nasdaq stuttersFed rate cut boosts risk appetite, China stimulus further lifts sentimentBut tech stocks are mixed as AI rally cools, earnings doubts creep inThe bulls return from summer hiatusAfter a prolonged period of unusual calm in the markets, volatility was back with a vengeance during the summer and autumn got off to an equally bumpy start.
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Market Comment – US retail sales eyed after CPI report fails to set off fireworks

US inflation eases further in July but market reaction is muted Wall Street unimpressed, dollar mixed Yen and pound supported by upbeat GDP data US CPI does little for 50-bps cut hopes The steady recovery in risk appetite remains on track following yesterday's inflation numbers out of the US that seem to have somewhat underwhelmed investors.
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Market Comment – Dollar remains strong ahead of key data, yen surges

Dollar keeps marching north, PMIs on tap Yen extends rally as traders unwind carry trades Aussi and kiwi slide on China concerns, loonie awaits BoC Stocks trade in the red, tech earnings in the spotlight Traders continue to buy the US dollar The dollar traded higher against all but one of its major peers on Tuesday and continued to do so today.
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Alphabet shares surged to a record high earlier in July But stock pulled back due to reaching overbought levels Momentum indicators deteriorate but remain positive Q2 earnings release could provide fresh impetus Alphabet’s shares have been in a steady uptrend since February, posting a fresh all-time high of 193.15 on July 10. However, the price has been experiencing a downside correction since then, with the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) providing downside protection f
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Alphabet reports Q2 earnings amid tech selloff – Stock Markets

Alphabet reports earnings after market close on July 23 Forecasts point to double-digit revenue and earnings growth Valuation is cheap against tech giants due to lack of AI exposure   Stock shines in 2024 Alphabet, Google's parent company, has been having a very strong year amid an overall tech outperformance. Despite experiencing a significant spike to the downside in February after the problematic launch of its Artificial Intelligence (AI) image generation feature, Alpha
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Market Comment – Yen tumbles to fresh lows, dollar awaits GDP

Yen falls to new 34-year low ahead of BoJ decision Dollar traders await GDP and PCE data Wall Street mixed, gold stays on the back foot Will Ueda appear in a hawkish suit this time? The yen extended its tumble to a fresh 34-year low, falling below 155.00 per dollar. With less than 24 hours to go for the Bank of Japan’s decision, investors are likely sitting on the edge of their seats in anticipation of the gathering’s outcome.
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Alphabet Q1 Earnings: Strong ad business but AI initiatives lag – Stock Markets

Alphabet reports earnings after market close on April 25 Forecasts point to double-digit revenue and earnings growth Despite stock rally to record highs, valuation is cheap against tech clan Core business shines, but focus shifts on AI After an outstanding 2023, Alphabet has started 2024 on a firm note, outperforming major US indices amid heightened volatility.
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Magnificent 7 earnings assert dominance, focus shifts to Nvidia – Stock Markets

Magnificent 7 earnings endorse their relentless rally Tesla lags, while Apple shows some signs of weakness Valuations are stretched despite rosy projections   In their own world The so-called Magnificent Seven group comprised of Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Nvidia, Meta Platforms and Tesla has gone parabolic since early 2023, outperforming the broader US stock market by a wide margin.
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Is the 5,000 milestone in sight for the S&P 500? – Stock Markets

Mega-cap stocks drive S&P 500 towards 5,000 milestone AI and tech dominate the bull charge to unchartered territory But how sustainable is the uptrend? A wobbly start to 2024 It wasn’t the best start for Wall Street in 2024 as the major indices stumbled during the first week of the new year. However, it didn’t take long for Fed rate cut expectations to take off again and revive risk appetite.
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Market Comment – Investors lock gaze on Fed decision

Fed to stand pat, focus to turn on rate path signals Aussie falls after Australian CPI slows by more than expected Euro slides ahead of preliminary CPI data from Germany Wall Street trades mixed ahead of Fed decision Will the Fed pour cold water on March rate cut bets? The US dollar traded mixed against the other major currencies on Tuesday, but it is gaining ground today.
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Technical Analysis – Alphabet storms to record highs ahead of earnings

Alphabet shares surge to consecutive all-time highs Momentum indicators are approaching overbought zones This poses asymmetric risks for the upcoming earnings report   Alphabet’s stock has been in a steady uptrend since October 2022, which has accelerated in the past couple of months. Zooming in the short-term picture, the price has been posting consecutive record peaks in 2024, but the advance is starting to look overdone from a technical perspective.
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Market Comment – Stocks, dollar steady after goldilocks data as Fed awaited

Stocks perky ahead of Fed decision as US data and China measures lift optimism Dollar and yields little changed after goldilocks reports, NFP eyed next Oil and gold spike on geopolitical concerns amid fresh ME tensions Markets await direction from the Fed Stocks were mixed on Monday amid a cautiously risk-on tone ahead of a very busy week for the markets that’s expected to get heated up mid-week by the Fed’s policy decision, culminating with the latest payrolls report on Fri
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Alphabet Q4 Earnings: Ad and cloud segments shine, focus on AI – Stock Markets

Alphabet reports earnings after market close on January 30 Forecasts point to double-digit revenue and earnings growth Despite its latest rally, stock remains cheap against tech clan Not great, not terrible Alphabet had a fantastic 2023, while the stock has started the new year in buoyant form as the hype around Artificial Intelligence (AI) stocks shows no signs of easing.
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