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Nghiên cứu XM

Nghiên cứu XM - 6 giờ trước

Was the recent stock market slump an overreaction? – Stock Markets

US indices took a hit after a soft NFP report sparked recessions fears But risk sentiment rebounded, and investors eagerly bought the dip What events may disrupt the market's supposed immunity to downside risks?   V-shaped recovery July’s softer-than-expected NFP report sent shockwaves across all asset classes as fears that the US economy is on the brink of a recession emerged.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 1 ngày trước

Market anxiety fades but volatility remains high – Volatility Watch

FX volatility smoothens a little bit as markets digest rate path repricing Volatility in commodities still high amid resurgence of geopolitical tensions Stock indices and Bitcoin still volatile while traders unwind bearish bets  Recession concerns from a weaker-than-expected NFP report two weeks ago have been fading, though they led to notable adjustments in expectations about major central banks' interest rate paths.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 2 ngày trướcBullish

US 500 cash index rebounds from 3-month low The price jumps above 50-SMA on the 4-hour chart Momentum indicators are tilted to the upside The US 500 stock index (cash) came under severe selling pressure last week, dropping to its lowest level since early May. However, the price seems to be in a recovery mode since its recent bottom, with the bulls reclaiming the 50-period simple moving average (SMA).
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Nghiên cứu XM - 5 ngày trước

Is the US data that bad to justify a rate cut?

The recent acute market reaction occurred due to increased recession fears Surprise indices point to a more balanced US economic situation Recessions tend to be caused by one-off major events The recent market drop has been attributed to higher chances of a US recession It has been a very volatile period in markets. The recent higher-than-expected rate hike by the BoJ caused a knee-jerk reaction in Japanese stock markets that led to the yen making significant gains across the boar
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Nghiên cứu XM - 5 ngày trước

Market Comment – Sentiment improves after drop in US jobless claims

US dollar gains as data ease further recession concerns Aussie benefits the most, also helped by RBA’s Bullock Wall Street rebounds, oil and gold gain as well   Jobless claims drop the most in nearly a year The US dollar ended Thursday mixed against the other major currencies, even though it received a boost from the better-than-expected initial jobless claims for last week.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 6 ngày trước

Market Comment – BoJ Summary of Opinions reveals hawkish mood

Yen pullback stopped by hawkish BoJ Summary Fed cut bets remain dovish, traders await next week’s data Tech shares drag Wall Street down again Gold rebounds, but remains well off its records Yen remains in the spotlight The yen remained in the spotlight yesterday, with dollar/yen extending its recovery by as much as 2.5% after Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida played down the chance of another rate hike soon.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 1 tuần trước

Market angst pushes volatility higher across the board – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility skyrockets as recession fears resurface Volatility in commodities jumps as geopolitics takes centre stage Stock indices experience much stronger volatility, decoupling from Bitcoin Volatility in the main FX pairs, including euro/dollar, jumped to the highest level of the past month as fears of recession, on the back of last Friday’s weak US labour market report, resulted in the market pricing in an aggressive easing path for most central banks during 2024.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 1 tuần trước

Market Comment – Markets breathe easier but will it last?

Slightly more positive tone in equity markets today Fear of recession fuels Fed rate cut expectations Light calendar today, focus on data during Asian session RBA remains hawkish, considers rate hike US stock markets set the tone for recovery With the US stock markets recovering slightly yesterday, the overall market sentiment is more positive today.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 1 tuần trước

Market Comment – Dollar plummets as US jobs data spread panic

Disappointing US jobs data push dollar off the cliff Yen extends rally as fears over US economy mount Stocks drop, VIX rallies to levels seen more than a year ago NFP report disappoints, rate cut bets surge The US dollar plunged on Friday after the US employment report for July came in weaker than expected, raising fears about the performance of the US economy and prompting market participants to start believing that the Fed may need to cut interest rates by 50bps at the upcoming
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Nghiên cứu XM - 2 tuần trước

Volatility remains elevated across the board – Volatility Watch

Yen crosses are very volatile after BoJ hike aids yen's recovery Volatility in commodity sphere jumps amid geopolitical flare ups Global stock indices in turbulent waters but for different reasons   Volatility in yen crosses has increased considerably as the latest interest rate hike by the BoJ has added more fuel to the yen’s recovery from multi-year lows against major peers.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 2 tuần trước

Market Comment – BoJ hikes but Fed could make a dovish tilt

BoJ announces rate hike and bond tapering Focus turns to US data and the Fed Australian CPI fails to record a significant downside surprise Gold and oil jump higher due to Middle East developments BoJ hikes rates and announces bond tapering The Bank of Japan confirmed market expectations and announced a 15bps rate hike earlier today.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 2 tuần trước

Market Comment – Markets in waiting mode ahead of earnings releases and risk events

Key earnings releases and numerous central bank meetings coming up US stocks in waiting mode, dollar recovering across the board Key euro area data today but all eyes are on Wednesday's BoJ meeting Gold, oil and bitcoin move in parallel Stocks are mixed ahead of this week’s key events US stock indices were mixed yesterday as the market is preparing for this week’s big events.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 3 tuần trước

Market Comment – Dollar trims losses against yen, core PCE on tap

Dollar/yen rebounds after US GDP data Core PCE the next test for Fed rate cut bets Yen rally losing steam ahead of BoJ next week Wall Street extends slide, more earnings awaited GDP data adds fuel to dollar’s engines The dollar traded higher against most of its major counterparts on Thursday, trimming losses against the yen and extending its rally versus the wounded aussie, kiwi and Loonie.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 3 tuần trước

What to expect from markets in the run up to US elections?

Presidential race dominates headlines and complicates Fed’s job Equities suffered in the two months leading up to the last six presidential elections Market’s performance in the 2016 pre-election period could be a useful guide Dollar strengthened in 2016 but equities were under pressure Significant developments in the race lately  The recent gun attack against Donald Trump and US President Biden's candidacy withdrawal last weekend have raised even more the profile of
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Nghiên cứu XM - 3 tuần trước

Market Comment – Stock market correction picks up speed

Fed expectations and US election affect sentiment Euro remains on the back foot against the dollar PBoC announces a surprise rate cut Gold suffers, aussie and kiwi losses pile up Stocks’ weakness intensifies Stocks are under severe pressure as the main US equity indices recorded yesterday their worst daily performance since late-2022. Considering the fact that yesterday’s US PMI surveys were mixed, and therefore not the trigger for this move, the cause of the continued w
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Nghiên cứu XM - 3 tuần trước

Market Comment – Dollar remains strong ahead of key data, yen surges

Dollar keeps marching north, PMIs on tap Yen extends rally as traders unwind carry trades Aussi and kiwi slide on China concerns, loonie awaits BoC Stocks trade in the red, tech earnings in the spotlight Traders continue to buy the US dollar The dollar traded higher against all but one of its major peers on Tuesday and continued to do so today.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 3 tuần trước

Heightened volatility across all asset classes – Volatility Watch

• Yen crosses are volatile as they retreat from multi-year highs • Volatility in oil and gold surges, Bitcoin follows suit • US equities exhibit higher volatility amid correction fears The euro and dollar pairs maintain low volatility ahead of the US PCE release on Friday and a quiet week on the European data front. On the flipside, volatility in yen crosses has increased considerably as the pairs have been extending their latest pullbacks from multi-year highs.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 3 tuần trước

Market Comment – Market in waiting mode as key data in sight

VP Harris close to securing nominee status Dollar trades sideways against the euro Tech stocks’ reaction higher helps S&P 500 breathe better Gold under pressure, drags bitcoin lower US Presidential race hots up Incumbent Vice President Kamala Harris has apparently made a significant step in securing the Democratic party’s nominee status by earning the support of enough delegates ahead of the August 19-22 party convention.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 3 tuần trước

Market Comment – Technical outage triggers risk aversion, Biden steps down

Markets in risk-off mode after outage Biden withdraws from Presidential race Gold and oil feel the heat of strong dollar Dollar rallies on haven flows The US dollar traded higher against most of its major peers on Friday, although its advance was paused today. With Fed fund futures indicating very little change in market expectations about the Fed’s future course of action, the dollar’s rally seems to have not been driven by developments linked to the Fed’s plans.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 4 tuần trước

Market Comment – Stocks suffer a fall but not sounding the alarm yet

Stocks under pressure but dollar fails to make gains ECB meets today, unlikely to produce a dovish shift Pound ignores data; yen continues to rally against the dollar Stock markets under pressure; feels like 2007 again Following last weekend’s events, the market is probably paying more attention to Donald Trump’s economic plan.
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