Australia, NZ dollars surge against yen, inflation tests loom
SYDNEY, June 24 (Reuters) -The Australian and New Zealand dollars scaled new 17-year tops on the low yielding yen on Monday thanks to persistent carry trade demand, although risk of a reversal looms as Japan stands ready to stop its currency's fast declines.
Traders are also looking ahead to Australia's May consumer price report on Wednesday and the U.S. personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index - the Federal Reserve's favoured gauge of inflation - on Friday to see how much easing there will be this year.
The Aussie AUDJPY=R hit 106.27 yen on Monday, the highest level since October 2007, having climbed a whopping 1.9% last week. The next major target is the 2007 peak of 107.84.
However, with the yen nearing the key 160 level on the dollar and drawing daily warnings from Tokyo, the popular cross could be at risk of a sharp drop. The Australian dollar lost 5 yen in two days in late April when Japan intervened in the market. FRX/
The kiwi NZDJPY=R showed some signs of fatigue after scaling a new 17-year top to 97.92 yen on Monday and was last down 0.3% at 97.5 yen. It was up 1.1% on the yen last week.
Consumer prices in Australia are expected to fall around 0.2% on the month, but the annual rate will likely pick up to 3.8% from 3.6%. That will feed into the quarterly report due at the end of July, just days before the August board meeting by the Reserve Bank of Australia.
Markets see little chance of an easing until April next year. By that time, futures imply U.S. rates will have fallen by 100 basis points.
That is one reason the Aussie AUD=D3 has stuck to its recent range of $0.6580-0.6710 in the face of U.S. dollar strength. It was off 0.1% at $0.6633, having eked out a small gain of 0.4% last week.
Joseph Capurso, head of international economics at Commonwealth Bank of Australia, expects the Aussie to trade within a tight range of $0.66‑0.67 this week.
"AUD/USD may ease slightly if Australia's CPI indicator is weaker than the consensus of what economists expect."
The kiwi slipped 0.2% to $0.6108 NZD=D3, after falling 0.4% last week.
Reporting by Stella Qiu; Editing by Sam Holmes
Aloqador aktivlar
Eng oxirgi yangiliklar
Javobgarlikdan voz kechish: XM Group korxonalari har biri faqat ijro xizmatlarini koʻrsatadi va onlayn savdo platformamizdan foydalanish huquqini beradi, bu odamga veb-saytda yoki veb-sayt orqali mavjud boʻlgan kontentni koʻrish va/yoki undan foydalanishga ruxsat beradi hamda uni oʻzgartirishga moʻljallanmagan va uni oʻzgartirmaydi yoki kengaytirmaydi. Bunday kirish va foydalanish huquqi doimo quyidagilarga boʻysunadi: (i) Shartlar va qoidalar; (ii) Risklar haqida ogohlantirish; va (iii) Javobgarlikni toʻliq rad etish. Shuning uchun bunday kontent umumiy maʼlumot sifatida taqdim etiladi. Xususan, shuni esda tutingki, bizning onlayn savdo platformamiz mazmuni moliyaviy bozorlarda biror bitimni amalga oshirishga oid maslahat yoki taklif emas. Har qanday moliyaviy bozorda savdo qilish sizning kapitalingiz uchun jiddiy risk darajasini oʻz ichiga oladi.
Onlayn savdo platformamizda chop etilgan barcha materiallar faqat taʼlim/axborot maqsadlari uchun moʻljallangan va unda moliyaviy, investitsiya soligʻi yoki savdo maslahatlari va tavsiyalar; yoki bizning savdo narxlarimizning qaydlari; yoki har qanday moliyaviy vositalar bilan bitim tuzish maslahati yoki taklifi; yoki sizga kerak boʻlmagan moliyaviy reklama aksiyalari hisoblanmaydi
Har qanday uchinchi tomon kontenti, shuningdek XM tomonidan tayyorlangan kontent, masalan: fikrlar, yangiliklar, tadqiqotlar, tahlillar, narxlar va boshqa maʼlumotlar yoki bu veb-saytda joylashgan uchinchi tomon saytlariga havolalar umumiy bozor sharhi sifatida "boricha" taqdim etiladi va investitsiya maslahatini tashkil etmaydi. Har qanday kontent investitsiya tadqiqoti sifatida talqin qilinsa, siz bunday kontentni investitsiya tadqiqotlarining mustaqilligini ragʻbatlantirish uchun moʻljallangan qonun talablariga muvofiq moʻljallanmagan va tayyorlanmaganligini eʼtiborga olishingiz va qabul qilishingiz kerak, shuning uchun unga tegishli qonunlar va qoidalarga muvofiq marketing kommunikatsiyasi sifatida qaraladi. Mustaqil boʻlmagan investitsiya tadqiqoti va yuqoridagi maʼlumotlarga oid risk haqida ogohlantirishimizni oʻqib chiqqaningizga va tushunganingizga ishonch hosil qiling, unga bu yerdan kirish mumkin.
