Thai inflation target range still effective, central bank minutes say
Recasts
By Orathai Sriring
BANGKOK, Sept 4 (Reuters) -Thailand's current inflation target range of 1% to 3% has been effective in anchoring expectations and in handling price shocks, minutes of the Bank of Thailand's (BOT) Aug. 21 monetary policy meeting showed on Wednesday.
The finance minister and central bank chief will meet this month to open negotiations on an inflation target for 2025, with the government seeking a new goal as it seeks an interest rate cut.
At the Aug. 21 meeting, the monetary policy committee voted 6-1 to hold the one-day repurchase rate THCBIR=ECI unchanged at 2.50% for a fifth consecutive meeting. One member favoured a quarter-point cut.
The next rate review is due on Oct. 16.
The current inflation target range has effectively anchored medium-term inflation expectations and has been sufficiently flexible to accommodate supply-side fluctuations, such as the recent rise in global energy prices, the minutes said.
"The inflation target also helped lower inflation persistence and allow the shocks to quickly dissipate in such scenarios," the minutes said.
Going forward, the Thai economy would face more relative price changes from supply-side fluctuations and structural factors, the minutes said.
"A flexible inflation target range, therefore, would play a crucial role in maintaining medium-term price stability".
Headline inflation averaged 0.11% in January-July, well below the target range.
The committee assessed headline inflation would gradually return into the range by the end of 2024, expecting it to stabilise near the lower bound of the target range.
The current low inflation rate did not indicate signs of deflation and could partly alleviate the rise in the cost of living, the minutes said.
According to the minutes, financial conditions have tightened for Thailand's small- and medium-sized enterprises and some households, and it was crucial to monitor private investment and consumption.
The central bank also said the economy was expected to expand as projected but the recovery was uneven across sectors.
The BOT has forecast economic growthof 2.6% this year, after last year's 1.9% expansion that lagged regional peers.
Reporting by Orathai Sriring; Editing by John Mair
免責聲明: XM Group提供線上交易平台的登入和執行服務,允許個人查看和/或使用網站所提供的內容,但不進行任何更改或擴展其服務和訪問權限,並受以下條款與條例約束:(i)條款與條例;(ii)風險提示;(iii)完全免責聲明。網站內部所提供的所有資訊,僅限於一般資訊用途。請注意,我們所有的線上交易平台內容並不構成,也不被視為進入金融市場交易的邀約或邀請 。金融市場交易會對您的投資帶來重大風險。
所有缐上交易平台所發佈的資料,僅適用於教育/資訊類用途,不包含也不應被視爲適用於金融、投資稅或交易相關諮詢和建議,或是交易價格紀錄,或是任何金融商品或非應邀途徑的金融相關優惠的交易邀約或邀請。
本網站的所有XM和第三方所提供的内容,包括意見、新聞、研究、分析、價格其他資訊和第三方網站鏈接,皆爲‘按原狀’,並作爲一般市場評論所提供,而非投資建議。請理解和接受,所有被歸類為投資研究範圍的相關内容,並非爲了促進投資研究獨立性,而根據法律要求所編寫,而是被視爲符合營銷傳播相關法律與法規所編寫的内容。請確保您已詳讀並完全理解我們的非獨立投資研究提示和風險提示資訊,相關詳情請點擊 這裡查看。