Stocks hold firm as US inflation data keep rate cut hopes alive
Updates prices
Recent data raises speculation about Fed rate cuts
U.S. CPI rose moderately in July, as expected
New Zealand cuts rates
By Koh Gui Qing and Elizabeth Howcroft
NEW YORK/PARIS, Aug 14 (Reuters) -Global stocks held steady and government bond yields retreated a touch on Wednesday after data showed U.S. consumer prices rose moderately in July, as expected, reinforcing investor bets that the Federal Reserve could start cutting interest rates soon.
But the size of the Fed's first cut, which many investors are hoping will take place in September, remains in doubt as the market debates the chances of a 25- or 50-basis-point reduction.
The consumer price index rose 0.2% last month after falling 0.1% in June, data showed, although inflation in shelter, which includes rents, accelerated in July compared with June.
"The one thing that was surprising here was rent accelerating," said Gennadiy Goldberg, head of U.S. rates strategy at TD Securities in New York. "I think that's the reason for the market's somewhat disappointed reaction, even though the print actually came in on the weaker side of consensus.
"I do think the market is reassessing the odds of a 50-basis-point rate cut in September. That pricing seems to have dropped from about 39 base points ahead of the reading to 36 basis points now."
By 1823 GMT the S&P 500 .SPX was up 0.24%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI added 0.54%, and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC fell 0.16%. .N The MSCI World Equity index was up 0.41%, at its highest level in 12 days .MIWD00000PUS.
In line with expectations that U.S. monetary policy will soon be eased, the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield US10YT=RR fell to 3.8295%, and the two-year Treasury yield US2YT=RR was steady at 3.9537%.
Europe's STOXX 600 was up 0.5% on the day .STOXX, while London's FTSE 100 was up 0.6% .FTSE after data showed British inflation rose less than expected in July.
POLICY EASING
Central banks around the world successively have begun to cut interest rates in recent months as inflation cooled. New Zealand's central bank cut interest rates for the first time in four years on Wednesday, and signalled more monetary policy easing to come. The move sparked a sell-off in the Kiwi dollar, which was down around 1% on the day NZD=D3.
The Japanese yen and the Nikkei wobbled after Japan's prime minister, Fumio Kishida, said he would step down next month, but Asian shares rose overall as markets recovered from the recent rout.
UBS shares UBSG.S were up around 3.1% after the bank reported $1.1 billion of net profit in the April to June quarter, beating analysts' forecasts.
Last week's global market sell-off was widely attributed to fears of a U.S. recession, which left traders betting that the Federal Reserve would need to cut interest rates quickly to spur growth. Stocks and bond markets were also affected by traders quitting the yen carry trade, in response to the yen's getting stronger following a surprise Bank of Japan rate hike.
U.S. data since then has eased recession fears. Stocks jumped on Tuesday after U.S. producer price data pointed to inflation cooling.
"Markets are less in panic mode," said Justin Onuekwusi, chief investment officer at investment firm St. James's Place.
Still, he said, traders may be getting ahead of themselves in their rate cut expectations.
"The market is being far too aggressive in those Fed cuts, particularly when you have hawkish-leaning Fed officials saying they are looking for more data to support cuts."
Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic said on Tuesday he wanted to see "a little more data" before he's ready to support lowering interest rates.
Pressured by bets of imminent U.S. rate cuts, the dollar index was on the backfoot at 102.58 =USD. A softer dollar helped the euro climb to the day's high of $1.10475 EUR=EBS, its highest level in more than eight months.
In commodities, Brent crude futures LCOc1 were down 1% at $79.84 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude CLc1 fell 1.6% to $77.08. Traders said concerns that conflict may spread in the Middle East and threaten production in one of the world's major oil producers had eased slightly. O/R
Buffeted by speculation about the size of the Fed's first rate cut, gold traded 0.9% lower at $2,443.0 an ounce. XAU= GOL/
Asia stock markets https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4
Asia-Pacific valuations https://tmsnrt.rs/2Dr2BQA
Reporting by Elizabeth Howcroft; Additional reporting by Dhara Ranasinghe; Editing by Mark Potter, David Holmes and Leslie Adler
To read Reuters Markets and Finance news, click on https://www.reuters.com/finance/markets For the state of play of Asian stock markets please click on: 0#.INDEXA
免責聲明: XM Group提供線上交易平台的登入和執行服務,允許個人查看和/或使用網站所提供的內容,但不進行任何更改或擴展其服務和訪問權限,並受以下條款與條例約束:(i)條款與條例;(ii)風險提示;(iii)完全免責聲明。網站內部所提供的所有資訊,僅限於一般資訊用途。請注意,我們所有的線上交易平台內容並不構成,也不被視為進入金融市場交易的邀約或邀請 。金融市場交易會對您的投資帶來重大風險。
所有缐上交易平台所發佈的資料,僅適用於教育/資訊類用途,不包含也不應被視爲適用於金融、投資稅或交易相關諮詢和建議,或是交易價格紀錄,或是任何金融商品或非應邀途徑的金融相關優惠的交易邀約或邀請。
本網站的所有XM和第三方所提供的内容,包括意見、新聞、研究、分析、價格其他資訊和第三方網站鏈接,皆爲‘按原狀’,並作爲一般市場評論所提供,而非投資建議。請理解和接受,所有被歸類為投資研究範圍的相關内容,並非爲了促進投資研究獨立性,而根據法律要求所編寫,而是被視爲符合營銷傳播相關法律與法規所編寫的内容。請確保您已詳讀並完全理解我們的非獨立投資研究提示和風險提示資訊,相關詳情請點擊 這裡查看。