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Raymond James sees tough setup for airlines ahead of earnings



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Updates

** Shares of passenger airlines .SPLRCALI down afterRaymond James says setup for sector headinginto Q3 earnings is murky as seasonal fare is expected to see normalisation in H2 rather than improvement

** Downgrades Frontier Group Holdings ULCC.O and Spirit Airlines SAVE.N to "underperform" from "market perform" citing lower fuel outlook and weaker fare trends

** ULCC slips ~4.8%, while SAVE down 5.1%

** "The setup into 3Q24 is 'clear as mud' due to rapid market and product modifications and potential headwinds," says Raymond James

** Adds softer consumer trends, Olympics, pre-election corporate travel impact could pose headwinds to airline earnings

** Believes risks are greatest at ULCC and SAVE despite already weak share price and investor sentiment

** Raises PT on Southwest Airlines LUV.N to $33 from $30, while reducing PT on Allegiant Travel ALGT.O to $68 from $71

** LUV falls 2.1%, ALGT down 1.9%, while United AirlinesUAL.O and DeltaDAL.N bothdown ~2%



Reporting by Roshan Abraham

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