Technical Analysis – GBPUSD turns red after upbeat US retail sales
GBPUSD at risk of losing power below 1.2960
Technical indicators send overbought signals
UK CPI inflation due on Wednesday at 06:00 GMT
GBPUSD switched to losses after US core retail sales displayed a strong monthly growth in June, beating analysts’ expectations for a pullback.
The pair slipped back below the 1.2960 support region, increasing the risk for a bearish continuation ahead of Wednesday’s UK CPI data as both the RSI and the stochastic oscillator are flagging overbought conditions.
The nearest support region could be around Friday’s low of 1.2900, a break of which could immediately halt near the constraining territory of 1.2850. If the latter proves fragile too, the door will open for the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) and the broken resistance line at 1.2750.
Alternatively, if the bulls claim the 1.3000 mark, the upleg could stretch rapidly towards the July 2023 high of 1.3141. Note that the resistance trendline from April 2024 is positioned in the same region. Hence, a successful battle there could activate another exciting rally towards 1.3265 identified as the 261.8% Fibonacci extension of June’s downfall.
In a nutshell, GBPUSD seems to have slipped into a caution zone. If the pair fails to bounce back above 1.2960, the bears could dominate the market in the coming sessions.
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