• NZDUSD rises temporarily after slight GDP growth surprise

• Bulls remain capped below 20-SMA; key support at 0.6085-0.6095

Early Thursday data revealed that the New Zealand economy experienced slightly faster growth than anticipated in Q1. However, NZDUSD rose only a few pips to 0.6164, which were swiftly erased.

The bears couldn’t push past the 20-day SMA at 0.6145 for the fourth consecutive day, leading to worries that the pause in the short-term uptrend could lead to a downward reversal. The negative slope in the technical indicators does not dispute the negative signals, though sellers could stay patient as long as the floor at 0.6085-0.6095 stays solid.

If the bears violate the uptrend below 0.6085-0.6095, the 50- and 200-day SMAs could act as a buffer around 0.6060, preventing a sharp downfall to 0.5980-0.6000. A step lower could trigger another aggressive decline to 0.5940, where the ascending line drawn from the 2022 bottom is located.

Should the pair gather sufficient buyers to exceed its 20-day SMA, a strong barrier could initially emerge near 0.6213 and then within the 0.6245-0.6260 range. A successful bounce higher could lift the price straight to the 0.6300 psychological mark or even closer to the December 2023 top of 0.6368.