Technical Analysis – US 100 index shifts to the sidelines
US 100 index opens the day in neutral mood
Some recovery likely but outlook could stay cloudy below 18,822
Earnings season continues with Disney’s results on August 7
The US 100 stock index had a boring start to Tuesday’s session, remaining neutral around Monday’s closing price and the 18,100 level.
Previously, the price staged a nice rebound near the 2023-2024 support trendline and bounced back above its 200-day SMA, increasing optimism that the bulls could soon take over after the latest crash in the market.
With the RSI hanging near its 30 oversold level and the stochastic oscillator showing some progress, an upward move cannot be ruled out. However, traders might be happier if the price bounces back above the broken support trendline and the 100-day simple moving average (SMA) at 18,820. An extension above the 20- and 50-day SMAs at 19,460 could further boost market sentiment, clearing the way towards the 20,000 psychological number.
Otherwise, a step below the 200-day SMA at 17,770 could upset the bulls, especially if the index closes below the ascending trendline from October 2023 at 17,300. In this case, the sell-off could initially take a breather near the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the 2023-2024 uptrend at 16,912 before stretching towards the 16,180 handle. The 50% Fibonacci number of 15,720 could ease steeper declines.
Summing up, the US 100 stock index could enjoy some stability after its latest meltdown. Besides, only an exciting rebound above 19.460 would shift the attention back to the all-time highs.
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