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Reuters - 19 oras ang nakaraan

FX options wrap - billions, value, GBP call, intervention, ZAR

BUZZ-FX options wrap - billions, value, GBP call, intervention, ZAR Trader option data from DTCC shows 12.5 billion euros of EUR/USD FX options , most around 1.0900, expiring on Monday and Tuesday, so no surprise to see a limited EUR/USD spot range around this level. Quite a busy data week which includes a European central bank policy announcement could increase volatility and add value to shorter-dated expiry EUR/USD options , where 1-week expiry implied volatility is currently trading lows sin
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Reuters - 23 oras ang nakaraan

Value in EUR/USD options without the currency risk

BUZZ-COMMENT-Value in EUR/USD options without the currency risk July 15 (Reuters) - FX options can be utilized to trade FX volatility without direct exposure to currency risk. With the current low pricing of EUR/USD options, there might be an opportunity to find value during this busy data week, which also includes the European Central Bank policy announcement .
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Reuters - 23 oras ang nakaraan

FX traders may be getting carried away

BUZZ-COMMENT-FX traders may be getting carried away July 15 (Reuters) - FX traders may be getting carried away as they are lured into too many trades that are based on interest rates which depend on quiet conditions, when their trading is spurring moves that could lead to an unexpected rise in volatility that hurts them. Carry trades rely on two factors: robust risk appetite - and this is the case with stocks soaring - and quiet conditions.
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Reuters - 4 araw ang nakaraan

FX options wrap - JPY success, big EUR, low FX volatility

BUZZ-FX options wrap - JPY success, big EUR, low FX volatility FX option implied volatility is at, or edging toward, long-term lows in the major currency pairs, reflecting broader risk appetite and a continued lack of FX volatility . Benchmark one-month expiry implied volatility trades three-year at 4.9 , while one-month GBP/USD is trading just above its post-Brexit lows of 5.5. Other currency pairs and maturity dates are following suit as markets head in to the traditional summer lull.
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Reuters - 4 araw ang nakaraan

Heady mix may fuel too much demand for Mexico's peso

BUZZ-COMMENT-Heady mix may fuel too much demand for Mexico's peso July 5 (Reuters) - An extremely strong will to invest and gamble when major currency markets are quietening will fuel demand for Mexico's peso as a key component for carry trades, which are likely to flourish . Mexico's currency is supported by the highest interest rate for any of the more popularly traded currencies, offering better returns than the dollar.
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Reuters - 4 araw ang nakaraan

Here's why HSBC is closing its short EUR/USD trade

BUZZ-COMMENT-Here's why HSBC is closing its short EUR/USD trade July 12 (Reuters) - On May 16 2024, HSBC opened a trade idea to sell EUR/USD at 1.0880 and target 1.0550 with a stop at 1.1050. They have since chosen to exit that trade close to entry and here's why. In a note to clients, HSBC FX research strategy analysts acknowledged that they are basically back to square one nearly two months after entering this trade, which says a lot.
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Reuters - 4 araw ang nakaraan

Stand-out FX option expiries for the week ahead

BUZZ-COMMENT-Stand-out FX option expiries for the week ahead July 12 (Reuters) - The cash hedging of soon-to-expire FX option strikes can have a magnetic effect on FX price action and add to nearby support/resistance. There are some huge strikes worth noting for Friday, July 12 , and for the week ahead. Stand-out EUR/USD strike expiries are on Monday at 1.0800 on 2.1 billion euros, between 1.0815-30 on 3.5 billion euros, 1.0850 on 1.1 billion euros, 1.0895-1.0900 on 4.6 billion euros and between
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Reuters - 4 araw ang nakaraan

Swiss EMS Chemie cuts 2024 sales guidance on currency effects

Swiss EMS Chemie cuts 2024 sales guidance on currency effects July 12 (Reuters) - Swiss nylon manufacturer EMS Chemie EMSN.S cut its 2024 sales guidance on Friday, citing currency effects as the Swiss franc strengthened. The company said it expects its 2024 net sales to fall slightly, after previously forecasting net sales in line with the 2023 figure of 2.19 billion Swiss francs ($2.44 billion).
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Reuters - 5 araw ang nakaraan

FX options wrap - Low FX vol justified but JPY caught off guard

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Low FX vol justified but JPY caught off guard Low overnight expiry FX option implied volatility flagged expectations of a minimal reaction to the U.S. CPI data, which proved to be justified . That is except for USD/JPY, where the price action would suggest officials may have taken advantage of the weaker U.S. data to give the JPY an intervention-led boost .
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Reuters - 5 araw ang nakaraan

Exploring the depths: How low options prices impact FX

REFILE-BUZZ-COMMENT-Exploring the depths: How low options prices impact FX Adds chart and links July 11 (Reuters) - FX option implied volatility is trading 3-year lows in the benchmark 1-month expiry EUR/USD contract and is under broad based pressure across other currency pairs and maturity dates, but what does this mean for FX markets? FX volatility is an unknown, yet key parameter of an FX option premium, so dealers use implied volatility as a stand-in.
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Reuters - 6 araw ang nakaraan

FX options wrap - FX outlook, big profits, CPI risk, GBP 1.30

BUZZ-FX options wrap - FX outlook, big profits, CPI risk, GBP 1.30 FX option implied volatility remains under pressure across all currency pairs and maturit y dates, with a lack of FX realised volatility set to be further impeded by the typical summer lull . EUR/USD is a fine example for the broader FX outlook, with its benchmark 1-month expiry implied volatility testing 3-year lows at 4.9 .
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Reuters - 6 araw ang nakaraan

FX reaction to U.S CPI data, according to options

BUZZ-COMMENT-FX reaction to U.S CPI data, according to options July 10 (Reuters) - FX volatility is an unknown, yet key part of an FX options premium so dealers use implied volatility as a stand-in. Any increase in implied volatility after the options expiry includes a major event therefore reflects the additional FX volatility that dealers feel that event will generate.
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Reuters - 1 linggo ang nakaraan

FX options wrap - Fed risk, appeal, Brexit, JPY digital, RBNZ

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Fed risk, appeal, Brexit, JPY digital, RBNZ FX option implied volatility continues to drift lower amid a lack of FX realised volatility, which should serve to enhance the appeal of FX carry trades . Benchmark 1-month expiry EUR/USD implied volatility eyes 3-year lows at 4.9 4.9 and 1-month GBP/USD eyes its post Brexit lows from May and March at 5.5. Even 1-month expiry USD/JPY implied volatility has fallen from 10.4 to 8.8 in a week as spot is drawn to alleged 161.00 digit
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Reuters - 1 linggo ang nakaraan

It's tough to look beyond the dollar

BUZZ-COMMENT-It's tough to look beyond the dollar July 9 (Reuters) - FX markets are quiet while stocks markets are soaring, which is the foundation for carry trades. In an environment that supports these trades, it's tough to look beyond the dollar. The dollar is supported by the highest interest rate for a major currency and extremely liquid. Those who don't want to hold cash have a wide choice of U.S.
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Reuters - 1 linggo ang nakaraan

Fed chair Powell risk to according to FX options

BUZZ-COMMENT-Fed chair Powell risk to FX - according to FX options July 9 (Reuters) - The market is awaiting for Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell to deliver his semi annual testimony before the banking committee of the U.S. senate at 10:00 a.m. in New York (1400 GMT) on Tuesday and related FX option pricing can offer clues about the expected FX reaction.
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Reuters - 1 linggo ang nakaraan

FX options wrap - FX signals, AUD up, EUR down, expensive

BUZZ-FX options wrap - FX signals, AUD up, EUR down, expensive USD weakness and risk appetite have been weighing on FX option implied volatility and there is little to change that narrative unless Thursday's U.S CPI data beats expectations. EUR/USD implied volatility has almost erased all of the sharp gains seen after the French election was first called in mid June, while risk reversals contracts have given back most of their additional risk premium for EUR puts over calls.
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Reuters - 1 linggo ang nakaraan

The two most important factors influencing currencies today

BUZZ-COMMENT-The two most important factors influencing currencies today July 8 (Reuters) - The two most important factors influencing currencies today are the robust state of risk appetite that has lifted many stock indexes to record highs, and the quiet state of FX markets which has seen volatility slump in major markets . When combined, these two factors support the establishment of carry trades which have been further enhanced by favourable moves in the direction for the few currencies that
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Reuters - 1 linggo ang nakaraan

Why EUR/USD is more likely to return to its range low

BUZZ-COMMENT-Why EUR/USD is more likely to return to its range low July 8 (Reuters) - There are good reasons to think EUR/USD's upside potential will be limited and more chance of it heading back toward the lower end of the long term range at 1.1240-1.0448 over coming months. While the French election may have avoided the fiscal disaster associated with a win for the far right National Rally (RN) , it has resulted in a hung parliament which will being its own problems for France and potentially,
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Reuters - 2 linggo ang nakaraan

Dollar stays lower after US jobs data; euro up ahead of French election

FOREX-Dollar stays lower after US jobs data; euro up ahead of French election Bitcoin falls on Mt. Gox liquidation fears Sterling up after UK election Eyes on French elections on Sunday Updates to 3:30 p.m. ET By Caroline Valetkevitch NEW YORK, July 5 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar index stayed slightly lower on Friday after data showed U.S. job growth slowed marginally in June while the unemployment rate rose, underscoring the view the Federal Reserve could begin cutting interest rates in Septembe
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Reuters - 2 linggo ang nakaraan

Dollar edges down after US jobs data; pound firm after UK election

FOREX-Dollar edges down after US jobs data; pound firm after UK election Updates to 10 a.m. ET By Caroline Valetkevitch NEW YORK, July 5 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar index fell slightly on Friday after data showed U.S. job growth slowed marginally in June while the unemployment rate rose, underscoring the view the Federal Reserve could begin cutting interest rates in September.
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