Most Latam FX climbs on prospects of bigger Fed rate cut
Foreigners pour $31 billion into EM portfolios in Aug, IIF says
Mexico's sweeping judicial overhaul formally takes effect
Peru economy expands for fourth straight month in July
Argentina's Milei pledges to protect fiscal balance in budget speech
Latam FX and stocks add 0.5%
Updated at 3:20 p.m ET/ 1920 GMT
By Ankika Biswas and Shashwat Chauhan
Sept 16 (Reuters) - Most Latin American currencies ticked up against the dollar on Monday as global markets awaited the U.S. Federal Reserve's rate verdict later this week, with bets tilted toward an outsized rate cut.
MSCI's Latamcurrencies index.MILA00000CUS was up 0.5%, hittinga three-week high, with the broader emerging marketscurrencies gauge .MIEM00000CUS scaling a lifetime high. The regional stocks index .MILA00000PUS also climbed 0.5%.
Both Latam indexes had loggedweekly gains on Friday, as expectations grew that the Fed could opt for a bigger 50-basis-point cut when it meets on Sept. 17-18.
Lower U.S. rates could give EM central banks more room for manoeuvre to ease and support domestic growth, barring the volatility and uncertainty around November's U.S. presidential election. Latin American countries are some of the major EMs that have already started a rate-cut cycle before the Fed.
Brazil's real BRL= strengthened 0.9% against the dollar to a near three-week high, with investors awaiting a likely local rate hike and inflation data later in the week.
"In the last few weeks, inflation expectations have been continuously worsening among investors," StoneX analysts noted.
"Such a scenario of discomfort will likely result in a 0.25 pp (percentage point) increase in the Selic rate, which, in turn, should improve the outlook for the Brazilian interest rate differential compared to other economies."
Mexico's peso MXN= slipped 0.4%, set to snap a three-day winning streak. Thelocal equity market was closed on account of Independence Day.
Mexico's judicial reform overhauling the country's courts, which will allow voters to elect judges, officially took effect on Sunday.
Chile's peso CLP= rose 0.5% against the dollar, boosted by strong copper prices, while Colombia's peso COP= dropped 1.2%.
Peru's sol PEN= edged up 0.1%. Datashowed Peru's economy expanded for the fourth month in a row in July fueled by all sectors except agriculture, continuing the country's recovery following a recession last year.
In Argentina, President Javier Milei said during a presentation to Congress on Sunday on the 2025 budget that he would defend his government's commitment to maintaining fiscal balance and veto all bills that threaten it.
Meanwhile, data from a banking trade group showed foreign investors ploughed a net $30.9 billion into EM stocks and debt portfolios in August.
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Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
Equities | Latest | Daily % change |
MSCI Emerging Markets .MSCIEF | 1086.56 | 0.39 |
MSCI LatAm .MILA00000PUS | 2260.23 | 0.51 |
Brazil Bovespa .BVSP | 134974.23 | 0.07 |
Mexico IPC .MXX | 52016.85 | 0.03 |
Chile IPSA .SPIPSA | 6349.18 | -0.03 |
Argentina Merval .MERV | 1822577.21 | 0.266 |
Colombia COLCAP .COLCAP | 1317.83 | 0.47 |
Currencies | Latest | Daily % change |
Brazil real BRL= | 5.5125 | 0.93 |
Mexico peso MXN= | 19.2635 | -0.4 |
Chile peso CLP= | 921.4 | 0.5 |
Colombia peso COP= | 4234.21 | -1.19 |
Peru sol PEN= | 3.7673 | 0.12 |
Argentina peso (interbank) ARS=RASL | 960 | -0.052083333 |
Argentina peso (parallel) ARSB= | 1255 | 0.796812749 |
Reporting by Ankika Biswas and Shashwat Chauhan in Bengaluru; Editing by Ken Ferris
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