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FX options wrap - Risk premium, USD direction, EUR/USD targets

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Risk premium, USD direction, EUR/USD targets Overnight expiry FX option implied volatility in the higher beta USD pairings was trading its biggest pre-U.S. CPI premium this year. However, Wednesday's data was basically in line with expectations and didn't prompt the excessive volatility for which options were primed. Broader FX option implied volatility has eased as the CPI risk premium was priced out and as always, is more evident in sub-one-month expiry contracts.
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Stand-out FX option strike expiries for the week ahead

RPT-BUZZ-COMMENT-Stand-out FX option strike expiries for the week ahead Repeats with no changes Aug 9 (Reuters) - The cash hedging of soon-to-expire FX option strikes can have a magnetic effect on FX price action and add to nearby support/resistance. There are some large strikes worth noting for the week ahead. EUR/USD strikes expire on Monday at 1.0900 on 1.3 billion euros ($1.42 billion) and Tuesday at 1.0865-75 on 1.4 billion euros and 1.0900 on 1.7 billion euros.
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Stand-out FX option strike expiries for the week ahead

RPT-BUZZ-COMMENT-Stand-out FX option strike expiries for the week ahead Repeats with no changes Aug 9 (Reuters) - The cash hedging of soon-to-expire FX option strikes can have a magnetic effect on FX price action and add to nearby support/resistance. There are some large strikes worth noting for the week ahead. EUR/USD strikes expire on Monday at 1.0900 on 1.3 billion euros ($1.42 billion) and Tuesday at 1.0865-75 on 1.4 billion euros and 1.0900 on 1.7 billion euros.
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Dollar dips as yen heads for first weekly drop in six

FOREX-Dollar dips as yen heads for first weekly drop in six Updates at 1851 GMT By Hannah Lang NEW YORK, Aug 9 (Reuters) - The dollar was off a one-week high against other major currencies on Friday, capping off a turbulent few days as traders digested a drop in U.S. jobless claims and the prospect of a looming economic downturn. The U.S. currency was down against the Japanese yen JPY=EBS following a three-day rebound, as Thursday's firmer-than-expected employment data spurred a paring back in b
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Dollar dips as yen heads for first weekly drop in six

FOREX-Dollar dips as yen heads for first weekly drop in six Updates at 1445 GMT By Hannah Lang and Kevin Buckland NEW YORK/TOKYO, Aug 9 (Reuters) - The dollar was off a one-week high against other major currencies on Friday, capping off a turbulent few days as traders digested a drop in U.S. jobless claims and the prospect of a looming economic downturn.
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FX options wrap - Adjusting for calm before possible data storm

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Adjusting for calm before possible data storm There have been some significant changes in FX option premiums over recent sessions amid the strong shifts in risk appetite and unwinding of carry trades. Implied volatility spiked to new longer-term highs across the board on Monday and despite the subsequent setbacks, it remains above prior levels.
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Dollar steady on US jobs relief as yen heads for first weekly drop in six

FOREX-Dollar steady on US jobs relief as yen heads for first weekly drop in six Dollar steady near 1-week high Yen on track for weekly drop Updated at 1133 GMT By Kevin Buckland and Sruthi Shankar TOKYO, Aug 9 (Reuters) - The dollar was close to a one-week high against other major currencies on Friday after the biggest drop in U.S. jobless claims in close to a year allayed fears of a looming economic downturn.
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Stand-out FX option strike expiries for the week ahead

BUZZ-COMMENT-Stand-out FX option strike expiries for the week ahead Aug 9 (Reuters) - The cash hedging of soon-to-expire FX option strikes can have a magnetic effect on FX price action and add to nearby support/resistance. There are some large strikes worth noting for Friday Aug. 9 , and for the week ahead. EUR/USD strikes expire on Monday at 1.0900 on 1.3 billion euros ($1.42 billion) and Tuesday at 1.0865-75 on 1.4 billion euros and 1.0900 on 1.7 billion euros.
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Swiss franc hits highest vs euro since 2015 amid volatile markets

UPDATE 2-Swiss franc hits highest vs euro since 2015 amid volatile markets Adds analyst comment, paragraphs 6-8 ZURICH, Aug 5 (Reuters) - The Swiss franc rose to its highest level against the euro in nearly a decade on Monday, as heavy losses in stock markets, concerns over U.S. and global growth and tensions in the Middle East drew investors to the safe-haven currency.
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FX options wrap - Many reactions to shifting FX drivers

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Many reactions to shifting FX drivers Shifting interest rates/expectations are a key driver of FX and volatility and there's certainly been some related movements this week. Weaker than forecast Australian CPI removed any RBA hike probability and put more pressure on AUD. That lifted related implied volatility, with 1-month AUD/USD posting a new recent high at 9.1 before supply returned it to 8.7 as AUD/USD recovered from its lows.
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FX options wrap - JPY explosion, GBP hedges, Fed preview

BUZZ-FX options wrap - JPY explosion, GBP hedges, Fed preview JPY related options exploded higher with JPY in the wake of Wednesday's BoJ tightening. Gamma demand at the fore with 1-week USD/JPY implied volatility reaching 16.25 and 1-month 11.5 - new highs since April 29. Subsequent setbacks were limited in anticipation of the eventual 150.00 barrier break that was being hedged since last week .
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FX options wrap - BoJ fear gauge, AUD setback risk, FX hedging

BUZZ-FX options wrap - BoJ fear gauge, AUD setback risk, FX hedging Uncertainty surrounding Wednesday's Bank of Japan policy announcement has increased related FX volatility risk premiums, with overnight expiry options trading at year-to-date highs . Overnight-expiry JPY-related implied volatility is trading at its highest levels since the Dec. 19 BoJ announcment and reflects the additional realised FX volatility this event is expected to generate .
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FX options wrap - Priming for event-driven FX volatility

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Priming for event-driven FX volatility Major events this week include central bank decisions from Japan, the U.S. and the UK; euro zone inflation on Wednesday and monthly U.S. jobs on Friday, which all have the ability to increase FX volatility. There's been a higher implied volatility risk premium for options that expire after these events, with overnight options set to include the EZ inflation and Bank of Japan from Tuesday.
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The critical importance of FX option strike expiries

REFILE-BUZZ-COMMENT-The critical importance of FX option strike expiries inserts graphic July 29 (Reuters) - While it's not an exact science, larger impending FX option strikes can often have an effect on the FX spot market as their expiries draw closer. Here's why. While there are many types of traders and investors influencing the FX markets, perhaps the most important when it comes to options are the many institutions that supply and manage liquidity.
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Stand-out FX option strike expiries for the week ahead

RPT-BUZZ-COMMENT-Stand-out FX option strike expiries for the week ahead Repeats with no changes July 25 (Reuters) - The cash hedging of soon-to-expire FX option strikes can have a magnetic effect on FX price action and add to nearby support/resistance. There are some large strikes worth noting for the week ahead. Stand-out EUR/USD strikes on Monday are at 1.0700-05 on 1.4 billion euros, 1.0800 on 610 million euros, 1.0825-35 on 1.4 billion euros and 1.0885-1.0900 on 1.6 billion euros.
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FX options wrap - PCE risk, JPY 150, BoE Bets, euro low

BUZZ-FX options wrap - PCE risk, JPY 150, BoE Bets, euro low A busier week for FX with the closing of short JPY positions being the main driver before next week's central bank meetings . However, JPY demand and broader FX option implied volatility has peaked for now. U.S. PCE inflation data can offer more clues on next week's U.S. policy decision and the U.S.
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Stand-out FX option strike expiries for the week ahead

BUZZ-COMMENT-Stand-out FX option strike expiries for the week ahead July 25 (Reuters) - The cash hedging of soon-to-expire FX option strikes can have a magnetic effect on FX price action and add to nearby support/resistance. There are some large strikes worth noting for Friday, July 26 , and for the week ahead. Stand-out EUR/USD strikes on Monday are at 1.0700-05 on 1.4 billion euros, 1.0800 on 610 million euros, 1.0825-35 on 1.4 billion euros and 1.0885-1.0900 on 1.6 billion euros.
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FX options wrap - JPY and CNH surge, central banks on radar

BUZZ-FX options wrap - JPY and CNH surge, central banks on radar The big movers in FX and options on Thursday are JPY and CNH, with risk aversion and the unwinding of large short positions the main drivers. USD/JPY extended its recent decline to test below 152.00, which saw 1-month implied volatility trade new highs since early May at 10.75 and remain firm amid the rebound to 154.00 after US GDP data.
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FX options wrap - JPY at the fore; here come the central banks

BUZZ-FX options wrap - JPY at the fore; here come the central banks Mild risk aversion underpinned the USD and provided an extra tailwind for a surging Japanese yen and its related FX option implied volatility on Wednesday. JPY short paring is driving the JPY surge to new highs against the USD since the early May intervention, with benchmark 1-month USD/JPY implied volatility following suit to new highs since May 3 at 10.6. One-month expiry risk reversals have also regained longer term highs for
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FX options wrap - Yuan bids, EUR outlook, JPY hedge, expiries

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Yuan bids, EUR outlook, JPY hedge, expiries There's been some demand for six-month expiry USD/CNH implied volatility in the low 5's - the date covers the U.S. election and China's yuan is the currency most likely to be affected by related trade policy. EUR/USD FX option implied volatility languishes at long-term lows and reflects the lack of actual/expected volatility .
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