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Noticias

Larger FX option strike expiries for the week ahead

BUZZ-COMMENT-Larger FX option strike expiries for the week ahead Sept 27 (Reuters) - The cash hedging of soon-to-expire FX option strikes can have a magnetic effect on FX price action, adding to nearby support/resistance, and there are plenty on Friday and for the week ahead. The biggest EUR/USD strikes are on Monday at 1.1200 on 1.2 billion euros, Tuesday at 1.1080-85 on 1.6 billion euros and 1.1100 on 1.4 billion euros and Wednesday at 1.1025 on 2.2 billion euros, 1.1100 on 1.4 billion euros,
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SNB's dovish inflation outlook can temper CHF upside

BUZZ-COMMENT-SNB's dovish inflation outlook can temper CHF upside Sept 26 (Reuters) - The Swiss National Bank delivered a third consecutive 25 bp rate cut, as widely expected, while also leaving its guidance on FX intervention unchanged. Despite the initial kneejerk move higher in the Swiss franc, the significant downgrades to the bank’s inflation outlook should temper the currency's bounce.
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USD/CHF options flag SNB induced volatility warnings

RPT-BUZZ-COMMENT-USD/CHF options flag SNB induced volatility warnings Repeats with no changes Sept 25 (Reuters) - Overnight/next day FX options now expire after Thursday's Swiss National Bank policy announcement and a substantial jump in the premium of those related to the Swiss Franc warn of a significant increase in its volatility. FX volatility is an unknown yet key component of an FX option premium, so dealers use implied volatility as a substitute.
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USD/CHF options flag SNB induced volatility warnings

RPT-BUZZ-COMMENT-USD/CHF options flag SNB induced volatility warnings Repeats with no changes Sept 25 (Reuters) - Overnight/next day FX options now expire after Thursday's Swiss National Bank policy announcement and a substantial jump in the premium of those related to the Swiss Franc warn of a significant increase in its volatility. FX volatility is an unknown yet key component of an FX option premium, so dealers use implied volatility as a substitute.
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USD/CHF options flag SNB induced volatility warnings

BUZZ-COMMENT-USD/CHF options flag SNB induced volatility warnings Sept 25 (Reuters) - Overnight/next day FX options now expire after Thursday's Swiss National Bank policy announcement and a substantial jump in the premium of those related to the Swiss Franc warn of a significant increase in its volatility. FX volatility is an unknown yet key component of an FX option premium, so dealers use implied volatility as a substitute.
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Here's why SocGen think USD/CHF topside options are cheap

RPT-BUZZ-COMMENT-Here's why SocGen think USD/CHF topside options are cheap Repeats with no changes Sept 4 (Reuters) - Societe Generale advocates an option trade that would benefit from USD/CHF gains, with their rationale being that CHF does not reflect dovish SNB pricing. The biggest central bank repricing over the last month was by Switzerland, with the Swiss interest rate for December seen 25bps lower than it was a month ago - a bigger dovish repricing th an for U.S.
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Here's why SocGen think USD/CHF topside options are cheap

BUZZ-COMMENT-Here's why SocGen think USD/CHF topside options are cheap Sept 4 (Reuters) - Societe Generale advocates an option trade that would benefit from USD/CHF gains, with their rationale being that CHF does not reflect dovish SNB pricing. The biggest central bank repricing over the last month was by Switzerland, with the Swiss interest rate for December seen 25bps lower than it was a month ago - a bigger dovish repricing th an for U.S.
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Swiss franc carry trade comes fraught with safe-haven rally risk

ANALYSIS-Swiss franc carry trade comes fraught with safe-haven rally risk Swiss franc more appealing in carry trades after yen blow-up Investors hope for stability, aided by central bank Yet safe-haven status can lead to big rallies By Harry Robertson LONDON, Sept 2 (Reuters) - As investors turn to the Swiss franc as an alternative to Japan's yen to fund carry trades, the risk of the currency staging one of its rapid rallies remains ever present.
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U.S. outlook now key for JPY, regardless of BoJ policy

BUZZ-COMMENT-U.S. outlook now key for JPY, regardless of BoJ policy Aug 12 (Reuters) - Global factors appear to be having a greater influence on USD/JPY than the Bank of Japan and its policy outlook. U.S. yields and oil could therefore have a greater impact over the coming year, regardless of whether the BoJ hikes another 25 bps, or 75 bps. A recent research note from Danske Bank expects the BoJ policy rate to reach 1% within the coming 12 months.
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JPY volatility successfully quashed, options show

BUZZ-COMMENT-JPY volatility successfully quashed, options show July 12 (Reuters) - The price action in FX options since Thursday's U.S. CPI data reinforces expectations of official intervention, but also reflects its success in quashing related volatility and JPY weakness, at least for now. The FX volatility upon which FX options thrive is an unknown, but key part, of their premium, so dealers use implied volatility as a stand-in.
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