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JPMorgan


Analysis

US Banks brace for a mixed bag of earnings – Stock Markets

US banks kick off Q2 earnings on Friday before opening bell Results expected to vary based on each bank’s characteristics Multiples remain compressed despite stock outperformance Strong first half As always, the US earnings season begins with banks announcing their financial results, which are often seen as a proxy for the health of the broader economy.
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Banks Q1 earnings: Weak results despite stock outperformance – Stock Markets

US banks kick off Q1 earnings on Friday before opening bell Earnings set to drop despite the robust US economy Valuation multiples rise but remain historically cheap   Solid quarter due to Fed repricing The banking sector started the year on the wrong foot as expectations of six rate cuts by the Fed had delivered a strong hit to their net interest margin outlook. This metric is essentially the difference between the interest income generated by long-term assets such as loans an
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US banks poised to close strong year on soft note – Stock Markets

US banks kick off Q4 earnings on Friday before opening bell Focus falls on the impact of declining yields and rate cut bets Valuation multiples rise but remain historically cheap   Tough quarter The banking sector started 2023 with the best possible omens as it was expected to continue capitalising on higher net interest margins. This metric is essentially the difference between the interest income generated by long-term assets such as loans and the interest expense paid to short-
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Bank Q3 earnings could ring recession alarm bells – Stock Market

US banks kick of earnings parade on Friday before market opens Poised for negative results as high interest rates become a headwind Historical low valuations cap downside Banks underperform in 2023 This year started with the best possible omens for banks as they were expected to continue capitalising on higher net interest margins, which are essentially the difference between the interest income generated by long-term assets such as loans and the interest expense paid to short-term
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Will US bank earnings exhibit resilience and shrug off Q1 risks? – Stock Market News

Some of the largest financial institutions in the US will unofficially kickstart the second quarter earnings parade, with JP Morgan Chase, Wells Fargo and Citigroup reporting their financial results on Friday before Wall Street’s opening bell. The banking sector came under pressure in March following the collapse of four regional US banks, but recently regained investors’ trust after most US banking giants aced the Fed’s annual stress tests.
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Daily Market Comment – Recession fears weigh as Fed stays hawkish after poor US retail sales

US retail sales disappoint but Fed does not budge on its hawkish stance Dollar holds firm after Friday’s gains, stocks find some support from strong bank earnings But markets overall steady as busy data and earnings week gets underway Weak data revives recession jitters Recession fears are elevated after retail sales figures out of the United States on Friday pointed to slowing consumer demand in the world’s largest economy.
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Daily Market Comment – Dollar’s woes deepen ahead of US retail sales data, stocks rejoice

US dollar slumps to one-year low as soft data bolsters case for Fed pause Wall Street rallies on Fed bets, but bank earnings pose a downside risk Fed-ECB divergence pushes euro towards $1.11, yen selloff eases Fed pause seen more likely after latest US data batch It’s been another week of underwhelming data releases out of the United States, and after the latest figures on consumer and producer prices added to the softening economic picture highlighted by last week’s ISM PMIs, the
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Daily Market Comment – Dollar slides ahead of US inflation data and Fed minutes

Dollar slides as traders seem reluctant to buy ahead of CPI figures Wall Street mixed ahead of today’s data, bank earnings on Friday Gold climbs back above $2,000 on the back of a weak dollar Bank of Canada decision also on tap US CPI numbers and FOMC minutes enter the spotlight The US dollar traded lower against almost all the other major currencies on Tuesday and continued to underperform on Wednesday as well.
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Can major US banks post solid earnings and restore credibility? – Stock Market News

As usual, the largest US investment banks will unofficially kickstart the first quarter earnings parade, with JP Morgan Chase, Citigroup and Wells Fargo unveiling their financial results on Friday, April 14, before Wall Street’s opening bell. Bank earnings have always been regarded as a proxy for the health of the broader economy, but now their role is magnified following the implosions of three US regional banks in March.
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