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Citigroup


Analysis

Wall Street greets Q3 earnings season with record highs – Stock Markets

Shares on Wall Street extend record streak as earnings get into full swingBut trading remains choppy amid elections, geopolitical and earnings risksAnother record highThe S&P 500 notched up its 46th record close of the year on Monday, sealing a positive start to the week as the new earnings season slowly heats up. Initial forecasts for Q3 put the earnings growth rate at 4.1%, but that figure could well rise as 79% of the S&P 500 companies that have reported so far have beaten their earni
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Citigroup shares post 28-month high ahead of earnings Short-term oscillators are within overbought territories There is high risk of a correction in case financials dissapoint   Citigroup’s stock has been staging a V-shaped recovery since its 2023 bottom in October, posting consecutive multi-month highs. After two months of rangebound trading, the stock posted a fresh 28-month peak of 66.70 on Wednesday, two days ahead of its Q2 earnings release.
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US Banks brace for a mixed bag of earnings – Stock Markets

US banks kick off Q2 earnings on Friday before opening bell Results expected to vary based on each bank’s characteristics Multiples remain compressed despite stock outperformance Strong first half As always, the US earnings season begins with banks announcing their financial results, which are often seen as a proxy for the health of the broader economy.
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Technical Analysis – Citigroup stock pulls back ahead of earnings

Citigroup shares post 25-month high in 2024 But experience a setback ahead of Q4 earnings on Friday Short-term oscillators soften in overbought territories Citigroup’s stock has been staging a V-shaped recovery since its 2023 bottom in October, posting consecutive multi-month highs. In the near term, the stock posted a fresh 25-month peak of 63.62 one week ahead of Q1 earnings, but quickly retraced lower due to reaching overbought conditions.
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Banks Q1 earnings: Weak results despite stock outperformance – Stock Markets

US banks kick off Q1 earnings on Friday before opening bell Earnings set to drop despite the robust US economy Valuation multiples rise but remain historically cheap   Solid quarter due to Fed repricing The banking sector started the year on the wrong foot as expectations of six rate cuts by the Fed had delivered a strong hit to their net interest margin outlook. This metric is essentially the difference between the interest income generated by long-term assets such as loans an
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Technical Analysis – Citigroup stock pulls back ahead of earnings

Citigroup shares post 21-month high in 2024 But experience a setback ahead of Q4 earnings on Friday Short-term oscillators exit overbought territories Citigroup’s stock has been staging a V-shaped recovery since its 2023 bottom in October, jumping above a crucial trendline taken from its February peak. Moreover, the price posted a fresh 21-month high of 54.66 in the past week, but quickly retraced lower  due to reaching overbought conditions.
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Bank Q3 earnings could ring recession alarm bells – Stock Market

US banks kick of earnings parade on Friday before market opens Poised for negative results as high interest rates become a headwind Historical low valuations cap downside Banks underperform in 2023 This year started with the best possible omens for banks as they were expected to continue capitalising on higher net interest margins, which are essentially the difference between the interest income generated by long-term assets such as loans and the interest expense paid to short-term
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Will US bank earnings exhibit resilience and shrug off Q1 risks? – Stock Market News

Some of the largest financial institutions in the US will unofficially kickstart the second quarter earnings parade, with JP Morgan Chase, Wells Fargo and Citigroup reporting their financial results on Friday before Wall Street’s opening bell. The banking sector came under pressure in March following the collapse of four regional US banks, but recently regained investors’ trust after most US banking giants aced the Fed’s annual stress tests.
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Technical Analysis – Citigroup stock under increasing bearish pressure

Citigroup is stuck in the middle of the 42.81-53.90 rectangle that has been dominating the price action since March 2022. It is currently below the February 2, 2023 downward sloping trendline and hovering around the various simple moving averages (SMAs) used, pointing to a delicate balance due to increased indecisiveness from market participants. The bears have been more active, but their bearish breakouts have repeatedly failed.
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Technical Analysis – Citigroup bulls ready to see light at the end of the tunnel?

Citigroup survived the mid-March madness, but it has failed to make sustainable gains despite touching 50.35 on April 19. It is currently hovering below the January 16, 2015 low of 46.65, around 12% lower than the February 2 high and comfortably inside the 42.81-54.30 range that has been dominating the price action since March 2022. It has been a tough period for the bulls, but they could finally see light at the end of the tunnel.
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Daily Market Comment – Recession fears weigh as Fed stays hawkish after poor US retail sales

US retail sales disappoint but Fed does not budge on its hawkish stance Dollar holds firm after Friday’s gains, stocks find some support from strong bank earnings But markets overall steady as busy data and earnings week gets underway Weak data revives recession jitters Recession fears are elevated after retail sales figures out of the United States on Friday pointed to slowing consumer demand in the world’s largest economy.
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Daily Market Comment – Dollar’s woes deepen ahead of US retail sales data, stocks rejoice

US dollar slumps to one-year low as soft data bolsters case for Fed pause Wall Street rallies on Fed bets, but bank earnings pose a downside risk Fed-ECB divergence pushes euro towards $1.11, yen selloff eases Fed pause seen more likely after latest US data batch It’s been another week of underwhelming data releases out of the United States, and after the latest figures on consumer and producer prices added to the softening economic picture highlighted by last week’s ISM PMIs, the
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Daily Market Comment – Dollar slides ahead of US inflation data and Fed minutes

Dollar slides as traders seem reluctant to buy ahead of CPI figures Wall Street mixed ahead of today’s data, bank earnings on Friday Gold climbs back above $2,000 on the back of a weak dollar Bank of Canada decision also on tap US CPI numbers and FOMC minutes enter the spotlight The US dollar traded lower against almost all the other major currencies on Tuesday and continued to underperform on Wednesday as well.
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Can major US banks post solid earnings and restore credibility? – Stock Market News

As usual, the largest US investment banks will unofficially kickstart the first quarter earnings parade, with JP Morgan Chase, Citigroup and Wells Fargo unveiling their financial results on Friday, April 14, before Wall Street’s opening bell. Bank earnings have always been regarded as a proxy for the health of the broader economy, but now their role is magnified following the implosions of three US regional banks in March.
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Citigroup’s rally appears to have hit a wall at the 47.00 area, with the stock currently hovering below the January 16, 2015 low of 46.65. It has actually been a good period for the bulls since the March 24 downside breakout, which proved short-lived, pushing the stock towards the middle of the year-long rectangle. This 42.81-54.30 range survived the October 2022 downside breakout, revealing an unstable balance among market participants.
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Technical Analysis – Citigroup tests lower boundary of year-long range

Citigroup is trading very close to the lower boundary of a year-long rectangle. This 42.81-54.30 range survived the October 2022 downside breakout, revealing a precarious balance among market participants. However, the recent developments in the US banking sector appear to have invigorated the stock bears. Citigroup has not recorded a lower low in the current phase, potentially disappointing the bears, but the long-term trend remains bearish.
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