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FX option surge warns of more EUR/USD volatility/losses

BUZZ-COMMENT-FX option surge warns of more EUR/USD volatility/losses Nov 22 (Reuters) - Price action in FX options warned of the increasing risk of EUR/USD volatility and losses, with the euro zone PMI data being a particular flash-point , but the speed and distance of the subsequent EUR/USD drop still caught many off guard. FX option premiums took another leg higher in a variety of contracts and across all maturity dates after the PMI data.
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Risk reversal options are a key EUR/USD signal

BUZZ-COMMENT-Risk reversal options are a key EUR/USD signal Nov 22 (Reuters) - Risk reversals are an FX option contract that plays on FX volatility, and a big shift in their premiums is very indicative for the EUR/USD outlook. The FX volatility upon which FX options thrive is an unknown yet key part of their premium, so dealers use implied volatility as a stand-in.
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Kiwi hits one-year low, swap rates fall as markets bet on super-dovish RBNZ

UPDATE 1-Kiwi hits one-year low, swap rates fall as markets bet on super-dovish RBNZ NZ two-yr swap rates fall 6 bps AUD hits 2-yr high on the kiwi RBNZ expected to deliver 50 bps rate cut on Wednesday Risk lies with a 75 bps move Rewrites to lead with the moves in NZD SYDNEY, Nov 22 (Reuters) - The New Zealand dollar hit a one-year low on Friday while swap rates fell on growing expectations that the country's central bank could pull the trigger on a super-sized rate cut of 75 basis points (bps
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Australia dollar hits 7-week high on euro, 4-month top on kiwi

Australia dollar hits 7-week high on euro, 4-month top on kiwi Single currency dives as Ukraine war escalates AUD hits four-month high on the kiwi RBNZ expected to deliver another 50 bps rate cut on Wednesday SYDNEY, Nov 22 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar hit a seven-week high on the euro on Friday as the single currency dived amid an escalating war between Russia and Ukraine, while diverging rate outlooks sent the Aussie to a near four-month top on the kiwi.
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FX options primed for PMI driven EUR/USD volatility and losses

BUZZ-COMMENT-FX options primed for PMI driven EUR/USD volatility and losses Nov 21 (Reuters) - Price action in forward looking FX options shows a EUR/USD market fearful of increased volatility surrounding Friday's euro zone PMI data and the potential for EUR/USD to extend recent losses in its wake. FX volatility is an unknown yet key parameter for an FX option premium, so dealers use implied volatility as a stand-in.
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Australia, NZ dlrs come unstuck, doves wager on big kiwi rate cuts

Australia, NZ dlrs come unstuck, doves wager on big kiwi rate cuts By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Nov 21 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars were on the back foot again on Thursday as a fledgling rally was foiled by a renewed jump in their U.S. counterpart, while the kiwi felt the added weight of aggressive rate cut wagers. The pullback ended three days of gains and came despite a pick up in commodity prices.
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Billions in FX option strikes strangle EUR/USD

BUZZ-COMMENT-Billions in FX option strikes strangle EUR/USD Nov 20 (Reuters) - Soon-to-expire FX option strikes attract the most cash - related hedging flows which can help to restrict volatility and contain the FX spot price. There are billions of euros of nearby EUR/USD strikes expiring this week and they continue to grow. EUR/USD has reverted toward 2.4 billion euros of 1.0540-50 strikes that expire at 10 a.m.
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Australian, NZ dollars keep rally alive, for now

Australian, NZ dollars keep rally alive, for now By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Nov 20 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars were battling to extend a rally to a fourth session on Wednesday as the U.S. dollar gave back a little of its recent bumper gains. The U.S. currency's ascent has paused as markets wait to see who President-elect Donald Trump will pick for treasury secretary , and how likely that candidate is to push ahead with Trump's full tariff and tax proposals.
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Huge options can influence EUR/USD this week

RPT-BUZZ-COMMENT-Huge options can influence EUR/USD this week Repeat removes mention of Monday strikes which have now expired Nov 18 (Reuters) - With little significant data before Friday's Eurozone PMIs, huge FX option strike expiries and their related FX hedging flows may dominate EUR/USD trading this week. Those trading FX volatility via FX options will typically neutralise any exposure to the currency pair with an opposing cash position and these flows can increase and potentially draw/conta
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Australia, NZ dlrs get rare bounce, RBA in no rush to ease

Australia, NZ dlrs get rare bounce, RBA in no rush to ease By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Nov 19 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars clung to rare gains on Tuesday as commodities pared a little of their recent losses and the U.S. dollar paused its meteoric run. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) offered indirect support by reiterating that interest rates were unlikely to be cut soon, and might even have to be raised under some scenarios.
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Huge options can influence EUR/USD this week

BUZZ-COMMENT-Huge options can influence EUR/USD this week Nov 18 (Reuters) - With little significant data before Friday's Eurozone PMIs, huge FX option strike expiries and their related FX hedging flows may dominate EUR/USD trading this week. Those trading FX volatility via FX options will typically neutralise any exposure to the currency pair with an opposing cash position and these flows can increase and potentially draw/contain FX spot to the strike price before the 10-am New York cut expiry.
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Australia, NZ dollars bounce against yen as BOJ's Ueda disappoints hawks

Australia, NZ dollars bounce against yen as BOJ's Ueda disappoints hawks SYDNEY, Nov 18 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars bounced versus the yen on Monday as Japan's top central banker flagged further policy tightening but left open the question of timing, disappointing policy hawks. The Aussie AUDJPY=R rose 0.5% to 100.23 yen after a 1.1% tumble on Friday when the Japanese currency gained broad support amid intervention warnings from the government.
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Australia, NZ dollars trampled by greenback bulls, bonds mauled

Australia, NZ dollars trampled by greenback bulls, bonds mauled By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Nov 15 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars nursed bruising losses for the week on Friday as their U.S. counterpart rode a rapid upswing in Treasury yields, which in turn hammered domestic bond markets. The mood was not helped by mixed data from China where retail sales handily outpaced forecasts, but industrial output and property activity disappointed hopes that stimulus measures were finally wo
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Australia, NZ dollars flattened by US juggernaut, resilient elsewhere

Australia, NZ dollars flattened by US juggernaut, resilient elsewhere By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Nov 14 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars floundered near three-month lows on Thursday as their U.S. counterpart extended its bullish run, while local jobs data were too mixed to provide fresh impetus. The Aussie held at $0.6484 AUD=D3 , having sunk 0.7% overnight to carve out a trough of $0.6480. The breaks of support at $0.6513 and $0.6489 reinforced the bearish trend and sets up tests o
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Australia, NZ dollars on shaky ground as US yields climb

Australia, NZ dollars on shaky ground as US yields climb SYDNEY, Nov 13 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars struggled on Wednesday as their U.S. counterpart was propelled higher by rising Treasury yields, putting further downward pressure on global commodity prices. The potential for President-elect Donald Trump to push ahead with large tariffs and tax cuts was seen as fuelling inflation and budget deficits, limiting the scope for rate cuts there.
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Australia, NZ dollars wobble near lows as falling commodity prices add to woes

Australia, NZ dollars wobble near lows as falling commodity prices add to woes SYDNEY, Nov 12 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars languished near recent lows on Tuesday as falling commodity prices added to their woes ranging from China's stimulus disappointment to a broader shift towards the U.S. dollar following the U.S. election. Overnight, commodity prices took a hammering with iron ore slumping about 2% and copper falling to seven-week lows, another negative for the two Antipo
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Australia, NZ dollars steady after Beijing's disappointing debt plan snuffs out rally

Australia, NZ dollars steady after Beijing's disappointing debt plan snuffs out rally SYDNEY, Nov 11 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars steadied on Monday after a disappointing local government debt relief package from China snuffed out a nascent rally, leaving investors back to focusing on the implications of Donald Trump's return to the White House.
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Australia, NZ dollars set for solid weekly gains after a wild ride to 3-month lows

Australia, NZ dollars set for solid weekly gains after a wild ride to 3-month lows SYDNEY, Nov 8 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars are headed for solid weekly gains after a wild ride this week when Donald Trump's U.S. election victory took them to three-month lows before hopes of fresh China stimulus spurred a strong rally. Beijing will conclude its five-day meeting of the Standing Committee of the National People's Congress (NPC) later in the day as expectations grew that the g
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Australia, NZ dlrs bounce after sharp sell-off as investors eye China stimulus

Australia, NZ dlrs bounce after sharp sell-off as investors eye China stimulus SYDNEY, Nov 7 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars rebounded on Thursday after a sharp sell-off as investors await stimulus news from China following Republican Donald Trump's U.S. election victory. The Federal Reserve is set to announce the outcome of its latest policy review later in the day.
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Australia, NZ dlrs tumble as markets lean into Trump bets on election

Australia, NZ dlrs tumble as markets lean into Trump bets on election SYDNEY, Nov 6 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand currencies tumbled on Wednesday as the dollar leapt with investors leaning towards a Donald Trump win as early results emerged in the hotly contested U.S. election , although many said the race is too close to call. Republican Trump won 15 states while Democrat Kamala Harris captured seven states and Washington, D.C., Edison Research projected, but critical battleground
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