The new yen short: Molehill or another mountain?
Oct 29 (Reuters) - Will the new yen short grow over coming weeks, or will the "once bitten, twice shy" analogy stunt that growth? That is the million dollar question for speculators as big event risks loom.
Those event risks include the first Bank of Japan meeting since Japan's ruling coalition lost its majority in a weekend election, and next week's U.S. presidential election.
CFTC data on FX positioning at the end of this week is almost certain to show that the net JPY short returned during a period in which the yen fell to its lowest level against the dollar since July 31.
Friday's CFTC data showed the net yen long shrank for a fourth consecutive week to 12,771 contracts in the week ended Oct. 22. That is the smallest net JPY long since the flip from a net yen short at the start of August.
The net JPY short hit a 17-year high of 184,223 contracts in July - before yen shorts were bitten by yen-buying FX intervention from the BoJ.
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(Robert Howard is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)
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