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USD/JPY to 155.63 on high US yields, Fed more circumspect?



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  • USD/JPY as high as 155.63 on high US yields, maybe a more circumspect Fed

  • Asia 155.33-58 EBS, on higher perch despite as eyed US CPI nL1N3MK0KL

  • Fed-speak suggests pace of easing may slow on growing uncertainties

  • General view Trump presidency to up inflation, being reflected in Fed view?

  • Plenty of less dovish comments late yesterday, to keep US rates firm?

  • Yield on US Tsy off from 4.376% high but firm @4.292%, 10s firm @4.452%

  • USD/JPY highest since 155.99 on July 24, next key resistance @156.00

  • Decisive break of 156.00 projects test towards 157.00, 157.09 high July 23

  • Japanese importer, spec bids eyed on dips to and below 155.00, supportive

  • Nearby option expiries 154.50 $884 mln, 155.00 $593 mln, 156.50 $597 mln

  • Stronger USD/JPY likely to elicit Japanese verbal intervention

  • But actual intervention difficult? Trump trade, shifting Fed view, unknowns

  • Related comments nL1N3MK104, nL1N3MK0A4, nL1N3ME031, also nL1N3MK16C

  • US markets nL1N3MK0TX, nL1N3MK1C7, nL4N3MK19O, nL1N3MK04X

  • On Fed-speak nL1N3MK0SH, on Trump presidency nL1N3MD1WT, nL1N3MJ0ZC

  • On the Trump trade nL1N3MK1AN, for more click on FXBUZ


USD/JPY: https://tmsnrt.rs/4fhw10Z

USD/JPY nearby option expiries into next week: https://tmsnrt.rs/48NoZia

Yield on US Treasury 10s: https://tmsnrt.rs/4fLmFdB

(Haruya Ida is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)

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