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U.S. stocks weekly: Place your bets



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** S&P 500 .SPX bounces 4% as traders boost wagers on bigger Fed rate cut .N

** Indeed, bets on a 50-basis point rate cut jumped to 47% on Fri from 28% on Thurs, CME's FedWatch Tool showed

** For the SPX, double-top risk persists, but benchmark index ends within 1% of its record highs

** This, as U.S. 10-year Treasury yield US10YT=RR ends a 6-day losing streak, though the trend remains down

** Nearly every sector on a roll: Technology and Consumer Discretionary hit the jackpot, while just Energy unlucky

** Tech .SPLRCT rallies 7.3%. Apple AAPL.O on Mon unveils AI-boosted iPhone 16, and chipmaker Broadcom AVGO.O seen as major beneficiary. AVGO scores 22% weekly gain

Semiconductor index .SOX surges 10%

Solar stocks gain as odds of Harris win rise after presidential debate. First Solar FSLR.O soars ~10%

Oracle ORCL.N hits record high on Tues as results beat on cloud demand, reaches new heights on Fri after robust FY29 sales forecast

In contrast, Adobe ADBE.O falls after downbeat current-qtr forecasts

** Communication Services .SPLRCL climbs 4.3%. Warner Bros Discovery WBD.O vaults after distribution renewal deal with Charter CHTR.O

** Industrials .SPLRCI advance 3.7%. Boeing BA.N drops Fri as workers go on strike. BA finishes week down fractionally

** Materials .SPLRCM leap 3.2%. Gold miners rise after bullion hits record high. Newmont NEM.N advances ~7%

Have grains reached fertile ground on the charts?

** Healthcare .SPXHC gains 1.4%. But Humana HUM.N worst SPX weekly performer, down 10%, as some health insurers fall after bets on Harris win increase after debate with Trump

And vaccine maker Moderna MRNA.O hits 4-yr low as FY25 rev outlook misses consensus

** Consumer Staples .SPLRCS lift 1.1%. Kroger KR.N jumps after grocery chain boosts lower end of annual sales forecast

** Financials .SPSY edge up 0.5%. However, JPMorgan JPM.N falls after COO says Wall Street's NII expectations "a bit too high", and mega banks slide as Morgan Stanley MS.N and Goldman Sachs GS.N top execs flag pressure on M&A and trading rev, respectively

** Energy .SPNY loses 0.7%. Several stocks hit new lows on Tues as Brent crude ducks below $70/barrel, though sector rises on Fri tracking crude prices as Hurricane Francine disrupts output O/R

** Meanwhile, investment advisor sentiment tests Oct 2023 low, while AAII bears perk up. And will it be 50 or 25? Either way it should be ok

** SPX performance YTD:


Tech

26.2%

Utils

23.2%

Comm Svcs

21.1%

SPX

18.0%

Financials

17.9%

Staples

17.7%

Healthcare

14.2%

Industrials

14.2%

Real Estate

12.3%

Discretionary

9.1%

Materials

8.0%

Energy

1.8%



(Lance Tupper and Terence Gabriel are Reuters market analysts. The views expressed are their own)

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