Canadian dollar hits new low on scramble for downside protection
Corrects day in first paragraph to Wednesday not Tuesday
Canadian dollar falls 0.1% against the greenback
Touches its weakest since March 2020
Price of U.S. oil increases 1.3%
Canadian bond yields rise across the curve
By Fergal Smith
TORONTO, Dec 18 (Reuters) -The Canadian dollar edged to a multi-year low against its U.S. counterpart on Wednesday as investors awaited a Federal Reserve interest rate decision and sought protection against additional losses for the currency.
The loonie CAD= was trading 0.1% lower at 1.4330 to the U.S. dollar, or 69.78 U.S. cents, after touching its weakest intraday level since the onset of the COVID-19 crisis in March 2020 at 1.4339.
"Demand for protection against a downside move in the loonie has soared," said Karl Schamotta, chief market strategist at Corpay.
"Implied volatility is marching higher, and risk reversals - which measure the cost of insuring against a drop in the Canadian dollar - are showing signs of severe strain."
Implied volatility on an at-the-money options contract to buy or sell Canadian dollars against the U.S. dollar in three months has jumped to roughly 6.4 from 4.5 in July, its highest level since April 2023.
Investors and companies use options to hedge their currency exposure. The currency touched a low of 1.4667 in March 2020.
Domestic political uncertainty has added this week to headwinds for the loonie. The currency has also been pressured by the threat of U.S. trade tariffs and a more aggressive interest rate cutting campaign by the Bank of Canada than the Federal Reserve.
The U.S. dollar advanced against a basket of major currencies ahead of the Fed decision at 2 p.m. EST (1900 GMT), with markets expecting the central bank to deliver its third consecutive interest rate cut.
The price of oil CLc1, one of Canada's major exports, was up 1.3% at $70.97 as U.S. crude inventories fell.
Canadian bond yields moved higher across the curve, with the 10-year CA10YT=RR increasing 2.7 basis points to 3.169%.
Reporting by Fergal Smith; Editing by Chizu Nomiyama
Related Assets
Latest News
Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.
All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.
Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.