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Quick Brief – Israel and Lebanon eye a potential ceasefire deal



  • Israel and Lebanon reportedly close to a ceasefire deal, with more details expected on Tuesday
  • Risk-off sentiment softens; gold retreats sharply to $2,626

In early US trading hours, there was positive news from the geopolitical front. According to a US official, Israel and Lebanon's Hezbollah are nearing a ceasefire agreement following recent shuttle diplomacy with the Biden administration.

The US-proposed plan involves a 60-day halt to hostilities. During this period, Israel would withdraw from southern Lebanon, the Lebanese army would be stationed near the border, and Hezbollah would relocate its weapons north of the Litani River. Additionally, the US is expected to send a letter of assurance, offering support for Israeli military action in response to immediate threats from Lebanese territory.

An Israeli official confirmed that the cabinet will meet on Tuesday to review the deal. While many developments could occur between now and then, the market reaction indicates that a deal could be real. As a result, gold has given up four days of gains, now trading around $2,626; a key support area within the lower boundary of a broad bullish channel.

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