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Trump trades shine, China data darkens

MORNING BID-Trump trades shine, China data darkens A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets by Harry Robertson From U.S. small-cap stocks to bitcoin to the dollar, some investors are seeking out assets that can prosper under a second Donald Trump presidency. The former president has taken the lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in betting markets, although Harris held a marginal lead in a Reuters/Ipsos poll this week.
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From bitcoin to Mexican peso, ‘Trump trades’ are appearing again

ANALYSIS-From bitcoin to Mexican peso, ‘Trump trades’ are appearing again Small-cap stocks, bitcoin climb; Mexican peso, Treasuries slip Trump Media & Technology Group shares up 140% since Sept. 23 Investors debate if market moves are due to Trump or economic optimism By Saqib Iqbal Ahmed and Suzanne McGee NEW YORK, Oct 18 (Reuters) - Corners of financial markets that could feel the impact of a Donald Trump victory are stirring again, as the U.S.
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US dollar buoyed by retail sales data, euro falls as more cuts underway

REFILE-FOREX-US dollar buoyed by retail sales data, euro falls as more cuts underway Removes extraneous euro rate in 10th paragraph US dollar index hits fresh 11-week high US retail sales rise in September ECB cuts rates for 3rd time this year US rate future price in 44 bps of cuts this year By Karen Brettell and Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss NEW YORK, Oct 17 (Reuters) - The U.S.
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Chile's peso hits one-month low among Latam FX ahead of cenbank decision

EMERGING MARKETS-Chile's peso hits one-month low among Latam FX ahead of cenbank decision Chile rate decision later in the day; 25-bps cut expected Mexican peso briefly slips below 20 per dollar Colombia's Ecopetrol issues $1.75 bln in bonds due 2032 Latam stocks down 0.2%, FX flat Updated at 1930 GMT By Shashwat Chauhan and Johann M Cherian Oct 17 (Reuters) - Most Latin American currencies were steady against a firm dollar on Thursday, although Chile's peso hit a fresh one-month low as investor
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Volatile Mexican peso reverses losses after crossing 20/dlr barrier

UPDATE 1-Volatile Mexican peso reverses losses after crossing 20/dlr barrier Recasts with peso strengthening MEXICO CITY, Oct 17 (Reuters) - Mexico's peso r eversed its losses in mid-morning trading on Thursday, after breaking past the psychological barrier of 20 pesos per dollar earlier in the day in a volatile session. The currency swung between gains and losses during morning trading, strengthening marginally against the dollar after registering its weakest level in a month earlier in the day
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Latam FX down as strong US data boosts dollar

EMERGING MARKETS-Latam FX down as strong US data boosts dollar Updated at 10:36 a.m. ET/ 1436 GMT Chile rate decision later in the day; 25-bps cut expected Mexican peso briefly slips below 20 per dollar Latam stocks down 0.5%, FX off 0.1% By Shashwat Chauhan Oct 17 (Reuters) - Most Latin American currencies slipped against a firm dollar on Thursday, as a strong retail sales reading boosted confidence that the U.S.
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Dollar jumps as retail sales confirm strong US economy

FOREX-Dollar jumps as retail sales confirm strong US economy Updated at 10:00 EDT By Karen Brettell NEW YORK, Oct 17 (Reuters) - The dollar jumped to an 11-week high on Thursday after data showed that U.S. retail sales increased slightly more than expected in September, boosting confidence that the U.S. economy remains strong. It followed a relatively muted currency reaction to the European Central Bank's decision to cut rates by 25 basis points, as expected.
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FX options wrap - USD gains and Trump trades are key drivers

BUZZ-FX options wrap - USD gains and Trump trades are key drivers FX option implied volatility remains broadly heavy amid the ongoing lack of FX realised volatility, but the impending U.S. election and the risk of an extended USD recovery maintain demand and premium for the 'Trump trade' . Overnight expiry EUR related implied volatility was the lowest for any ECB policy announcement in 2024 - consistent with the lack of actual volatility in its wake.
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Mexican peso weakens past 20/dlr barrier

Mexican peso weakens past 20/dlr barrier MEXICO CITY, Oct 17 (Reuters) - Mexico's peso weakened in early morning trading on Thursday and broke past the psychological barrier of 20 pesos per dollar. The currency was trading at 20.0086 pesos per dollar, depreciating some 0.80%. Reporting by Aida Pelaez-Fernandez and Noe Torres; Editing by Kylie Madry
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These FX options are becoming 'the Trump trade'

RPT-BUZZ-COMMENT-These FX options are becoming 'the Trump trade' Repeats with no changes Oct 16 (Reuters) - U.S. Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump has regained his poll lead over Democratic rival Kamala Harris with only three weeks to go before the U.S. election and it's fuelling demand for options to hedge the risk of a stronger USD rebound.
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Mexico's peso hits one-month low, leads declines among Latam FX

EMERGING MARKETS-Mexico's peso hits one-month low, leads declines among Latam FX America Movil pursues SpaceX deal, after strong third quarter Brazil to extend fiscal rules' lifespan, says Haddad Argentina's trade surplus nears $16 billion under Milei Chile rate decision on Thursday Latam stocks down 0.2%, FX off 0.6% Updated at 2028 GMT By Shashwat Chauhan and Johann M Cherian Oct 16 (Reuters) - Mexico's peso hit a one-month low on Wednesday and led declines among currencies in Latin America, w
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Latam FX under pressure as commodities decline

EMERGING MARKETS-Latam FX under pressure as commodities decline Updated at 10:45 a.m. ET/ 1445 GMT Mexico's America Movil up after Q3 profit triples Chile rate decision on Thursday Latam stocks down 0.4%, FX off 0.7% By Shashwat Chauhan Oct 16 (Reuters) - Most Latin American currencies extended losses on Wednesday, as the prices fell of iron ore and oil, among the regions' biggest exports, and the market focused on economic data and geopolitics.
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These FX options are becoming 'the Trump trade'

BUZZ-COMMENT-These FX options are becoming 'the Trump trade' Oct 16 (Reuters) - U.S. Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump has regained his poll lead over Democratic rival Kamala Harris with only three weeks to go before the U.S. election and it's fuelling demand for options to hedge the risk of a stronger USD rebound. USD call options give holders the right to buy the USD at levels that are advantageous to the FX spot rate, for an upfront premium.
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Telecoms giant America Movil triples quarterly net profit in Q3

UPDATE 2-Telecoms giant America Movil triples quarterly net profit in Q3 Adds subscriber gains in paragraph 9; operating profit and financing costs in paragraph 10; context in paragraphs 11-12 MEXICO CITY, Oct 15 (Reuters) - Mexican telecommunications giant America Movil AMXB.MX reported on Tuesday that it more than tripled its net profit in the third quarter from a year ago, d ue in part to a weaker peso boosting its foreign earnings and lower financing costs.
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Mexican peso leads Latam FX slide on weak commodity prices

EMERGING MARKETS-Mexican peso leads Latam FX slide on weak commodity prices Brazil's Haddad backs limiting spending Mexican lower house passes judicial reform legislation IMF sees Mexico economic growth slowing in 2024, 2025 Peru economy grows more than expected in August on mining boost Latam FX down 1.2%, stocks off 1.4% Updated at 2000 GMT By Shashwat Chauhan and Johann M Cherian Oct 15 (Reuters) - Most currencies of resources-rich Latin America depreciated over 1% on Tuesday as prices of com
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Latam FX slides as lower commodity prices weigh

EMERGING MARKETS-Latam FX slides as lower commodity prices weigh Updated at 10:35 a.m. ET/ 1435 GMT Brazil's Haddad backs limiting spending Mexican lower house passes judicial reform legislation Latam FX down 1%, stocks off 1.5% By Shashwat Chauhan Oct 15 (Reuters) - Most currencies of resources-rich Latin America slipped on Tuesday as prices of commodities such as oil and copper remained under pressure over an uncertain demand outlook, with Mexico's peso the worst hit.
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Most Latam FX track lower commodity prices, Brazil data in focus

EMERGING MARKETS-Most Latam FX track lower commodity prices, Brazil data in focus Brazil's economic activity beats forecast in August Rate decision in Chile later in the week MSCI Latam stocks index up 1.45%, FX adds 0.8% Updated at 1953 GMT By Shashwat Chauhan and Johann M Cherian Oct 14 (Reuters) - Most currencies of resources-rich Latin America slipped on Monday, tracking weak commodity prices, while robust Brazilian economic data bolstered the case for interest rate hikes and strengthened th
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Most Latam FX down as China disappointment dents commodity prices

EMERGING MARKETS-Most Latam FX down as China disappointment dents commodity prices Updated at 10:30 a.m. ET/1430 GMT Brazil's economic activity beats forecast in August Rate decision in Chile later in the week Latam stocks up 0.3%, FX adds 0.5% By Shashwat Chauhan Oct 14 (Reuters) - Most currencies of resources-rich Latin America slipped on Monday, as the lack of clarity on stimulus plans from top commodities consumer China dragged crude oil and base metal prices lower.
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FX options wrap - Nowhere fast, election bid, USD hedge

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Nowhere fast, election bid, USD hedge Shorter term expiry FX option implied volatility remains depressed to highlight a lack of short-term realised volatility expectations, with overnight/next day expiry option premiums hitting their lowest levels since July . Premium/break-even prices taken from overnight expiry implied volatility in EUR/USD, GBP/USD and AUD/USD, were at/below 25 USD pips on Monday's U.S.
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FX is going nowhere fast - according to options

BUZZ-COMMENT-FX is going nowhere fast - according to options Oct 14 (Reuters) - Implied volatility serves as a proxy for realized FX volatility when pricing options. For very short-term expiries, implied volatility is currently exceptionally low. Overnight expiry is the next working day at 10-am New York/3-pm London and is the shortest duration option.
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