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GBPJPY


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Volatility jumps as market prepares for an action-packed week – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility surges as dollar remains on the back footVolatility in commodities reaches new monthly high, led by oilStock indices experience strong volatility amidst a tentative rallyEuro/dollar volatility has jumped over the past week, as the FX market is whipsawed by the possibility of another strong Fed rate cut. Similarly, volatility of most yen crosses has risen aggressively, with the yen surrendering part of its recent sizeable gains on the back of weaker data and a general el
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Weekly Technical Outlook – USDJPY, EURUSD, AUDUSD

First NFP report after Fed’s rate cut; USDJPY dives sharplyEurozone flash CPI in the spotlight with EURUSD standing below 1.1200BoJ Summary of Opinions on Tuesday; GBPJPY slightly recoup lossesNFP report --> USDJPYThis week’s Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) data is crucial for gauging the US labor market’s health. Analysts expect the report, due on Friday, to show a moderate increase in job creation, reflecting ongoing economic stabilization.
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Technical Analysis – GBPJPY has an unstoppable rally to 2-month high

GBPJPY surpasses 50- and 200-day SMAsStochastic and RSI tick up in overbought regionsGBPJPY has created an aggressive bullish rally to a fresh two-month high of  195.95 over the last ten days following the strong rebound off the 183.70 support level. The market successfully surpassed the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) and the 195.00 round nu
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Volatility drops across the board after the Fed meeting – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility remains low as dollar underperforms Volatility in commodities stays elevated, led by gold Stock indices experience decent volatility despite the rally Euro/dollar volatility has eased a bit over the past week, as the market digested the strong Fed rate cut. Similarly, volatility of most yen crosses has dropped aggressively lower, as the yen surrendered part of its recent sizeable gains, despite the fact that the BoJ maintained the chances of another rate
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Technical Analysis – GBPJPY surges above 188.00 key barrier

GBPJPY jumps above 188.00, confirming a higher low A break above 193.50 could brighten the picture A move below 183.70 may turn the outlook back to bearish GBPJPY traded higher on Thursday, clearing the key resistance (now turned into support) barrier of 188.00. The move confirmed the higher high at 183.70, which cancels the bearish picture.
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Midweek Technical Look - Gold, US 500, GBPJPY

Gold touches 2,600 after Fed decision US 500 records another all-time high; strong bullish bias today GBPJPY posts several days of gains; bearish cross within SMAs
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Volatility eases a bit ahead of the key Fed meeting – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility remains low as dollar weakness lingers Volatility in commodities stays elevated led by silver Stock indices and bitcoin experience lower volatility Euro/dollar volatility remains low as the market is preparing for the key Fed meeting on Wednesday that could deliver a previously unexpected 50bps rate cut. Amidst these conditions, yen pairs are experiencing the highest volatility of the past month as the yen continues to outperform its main counterparties on
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Technical Analysis – GBPJPY makes a backflip, but patience needed

GBPJPY resumes negative momentum, but hopes for a pivot remain Sellers need a close below 185.65 to take full control   GBPJPY came under renewed downside pressure after closing Thursday’s session with mild gains around 186.00. The pair shifted from a recent low of 183.70 earlier this week, forming a hammer candlestick and giving hope for a potential upward reversal.
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Equities volatility jumps as sentiment turns negative – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility remains low as market digests US data prints Volatility in commodities remains low apart from oil Stock indices and bitcoin experience much higher volatility Volatility in the main FX pairs, including euro/dollar, has eased in the past few days as the market is digesting last week’s US labour market data and preparing for Wednesday’s CPI report, which could play a role in determining the size of the imminent Fed rate cut.
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Technical Analysis – GBPJPY continues selling interest below 190.00

GBPJPY stands beneath 200-day SMA Momentum oscillators look neutral-to-bearish GBPJPY has been in a considerably descending movement, losing around 3% after it topped at 193.50. The market is currently testing the 188.00 round number with the technical oscillator confirming strong bearish tendency in the short-to-medium-term view. The stochastic plunged into the oversold territory with strong momentum, while the RSI is sloping down below the neutral threshold of 50. Steeper declines c
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Volatility eases across the board ahead of key US data – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility drops as market prepares for an action-packed week Volatility in commodities crashes to new lows apart from oil Stock indices and bitcoin experience much lower volatility Volatility in the main FX pairs, including euro/dollar, has eased in the past few days as the market is preparing for this week’s US labour market data releases that could play a key role in determining the size of the imminent rate cut by the Fed.
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Technical Analysis – GBPJPY’s recovery stalls at 200-day SMA

GBPJPY attempts to recover from recent 8-month low But the rebound falters after testing 200-day SMA RSI and MACD remain tilted to the bearish side   GBPJPY experienced a vast selloff in July, dropping from a 16-year peak of 208.10 to as low as 180.07 on August 5, which is also an eight-month low. Since then, the pair has been in a recovery mode, but its rebound seems to have paused for now at the 200-day simple moving average (SMA).
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Volatility ebbs as recession fears evaporate – Volatility Watch

Besides EUR/USD, FX volatility subsides as markets digest rate path repricing Volatility in precious metals is still high, but oil enters calmer waters Stock indices and Bitcoin volatility at their bottom of their 30-day range Recession concerns from a weaker-than-expected July NFP report have been fading, though they led to notable adjustments in expectations about major central banks' interest rate paths. This week, investors are focused on Jerome Powell's Jackson H
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Market anxiety fades but volatility remains high – Volatility Watch

FX volatility smoothens a little bit as markets digest rate path repricing Volatility in commodities still high amid resurgence of geopolitical tensions Stock indices and Bitcoin still volatile while traders unwind bearish bets  Recession concerns from a weaker-than-expected NFP report two weeks ago have been fading, though they led to notable adjustments in expectations about major central banks' interest rate paths.
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Technical Analysis – GBPJPY climb continues

GBPJPY is edging higher today, recording another green session It remains around 10% below its recent peak Momentum indicators acknowledge this bullish reaction GBPJPY is edging higher again today, recording its third consecutive green candle and recovering by around 4% above its August 5 low. The market has settled down a bit following the recent rout, with GBP recovering a tad after the recent BoE rate cut.
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Market angst pushes volatility higher across the board – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility skyrockets as recession fears resurface Volatility in commodities jumps as geopolitics takes centre stage Stock indices experience much stronger volatility, decoupling from Bitcoin Volatility in the main FX pairs, including euro/dollar, jumped to the highest level of the past month as fears of recession, on the back of last Friday’s weak US labour market report, resulted in the market pricing in an aggressive easing path for most central banks during 2024.
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Midweek Technical Look - GBPJPY, US 500, WTI

GBPJPY records fresh 3-month low, losing 4% from 199.40 US 500 rebounds off long-term ascending trend line WTI crude oil recoups significant losses, jumping above 200-day SMA
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Volatility remains elevated across the board – Volatility Watch

Yen crosses are very volatile after BoJ hike aids yen's recovery Volatility in commodity sphere jumps amid geopolitical flare ups Global stock indices in turbulent waters but for different reasons   Volatility in yen crosses has increased considerably as the latest interest rate hike by the BoJ has added more fuel to the yen’s recovery from multi-year lows against major peers.
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Technical Analysis – GBPJPY selling drama stretches below 200-EMA

GBPJPY’s massive sell-off continues, reaches 3-month low Short-term risk bearish but oversold conditions detected BoE policy announcement might influence GBP at 11:30 GMT   GBPJPY suffered another bold attack this week, giving back 8% of its value since its peak at a 16-year high of 208.09 on July 11. With downside pressures intensifying below the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) today, more sellers could join the market.
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Technical Analysis – GBPJPY extends decline to a fresh 2-month low

GBPJPY pulls back from its 16-year peak of 208.10 The pair falls to its lowest level since May 16 RSI and MACD warn of an overstretched retreat GBPJPY has been in a prolonged uptrend since early 2024, posting a 16-year high of 208.10 on July 11. However, the pair has been undergoing a pullback since then, with the price violating both the supportive trendline in place since January and the 50-day simple moving average (SMA).
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