The $1 billion disruption
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THE $1 BILLION DISRUPTION
Friday's widespread internet outage, caused by an update at CrowdStrike, could lead to "meaningful" claims for European insurers, but Barclays analysts expect the hit to be manageable for the market.
Based on company exposures, Barclays identifies Munich Re, Beazley, Hannover Re and Swiss Re to be among the largest cyber underwriters across the primary and reinsurance markets.
"At present due to the short duration of the accident and the non-malicious nature of it we would expect industry impact of US$1bn or less," writes Barclays.
"This should limit the potential impact for listed cyber market leaders to mid/high double digit millions, or up to low triple digit millions for Munich Re - an equivalent to a small-sized hurricane or a European wind event."
Beazley, which slipped 3.3% on Friday, has reiterated its guidance on Tuesday despite Friday's outage. Shares are up 1.9% today.
Deutsche Bank looks at the impact on CrowdStrike itself following the outage, interestingly unable to publish its thoughts on Friday.
"Our initial reaction on Friday was seeing a 10%+ pullback in a high-quality stock as a buying opportunity," Deutsche Bank wrote on Monday.
"However, we were ironically unable to publish our original research due to the outage itself."
Ultimately, the German bank still expects this to be a "defining moment" from which they expect CrowdStrike to recover and thrive.
Shares in CrowdStrike are down over 23% from their closing price on Thursday, the last trading day before the outage.
(Samuel Indyk)
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TUESDAY'S OTHER LIVE MARKETS POSTS:
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EUROPEAN FUTURES MIXED, EARNINGS KICK INTO GEAR CLICK HERE
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