Oil prices are not a recession signal
Nasdaq up ~0.7%, S&P 500 up ~0.3%, Dow edges red
Comm Svcs leads S&P sector gainers; Utilities weakest group
Dollar edges up; gold up ~1%; bitcoin jumps >4%; crude dips
U.S. 10-Year Treasury yield edges up to ~4.30%
Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of markets brought to you by Reuters reporters. You can share your thoughts with us at markets.research@thomsonreuters.com
OIL PRICES ARE NOT A RECESSION SIGNAL
Crude prices dipped on Tuesday, on a report that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will hold a meeting for a diplomatic solution to the war in Lebanon.
The decline comes after crude tumbled 6% in the prior session, its sharpest one-day drop since July 2022, after Saturday's retaliatory strike by Israel against Iran's military bypassed oil and nuclear facilities.
After peaking at nearly $130 in March 2022, crude has largely declined steadily, partially on dollar strength and worries about slowing global economies sapping demand.
But Nicholas Colas, co-founder of DataTrek Research in New York, points out that lower oil prices are not a recession signal and that occasional year-over-year declines are a "common feature of mid-cycle environments and not one that signals an imminent slowdown."
Colas said the real issue stems from when oil prices jump by 80% to 100% over a year and "aside from 2021's snapback, every time that has happened we've had a recession or already been in one."
(Chuck Mikolajczak)
*****
FOR TUESDAY'S EARLIER LIVE MARKETS POSTS:
BOFA CLIENTS POST BIGGEST U.S. EQUITY OUTFLOWS IN 8 WEEKS - CLICK HERE
WHY SMALL CAPS ARE OUTPERFORMING - CLICK HERE
TUESDAY DATA: JOLTS OF CONFIDENCE - CLICK HERE
U.S. STOCKS FLAT AFTER DATA, AHEAD OF MEGACAP EARNINGS - CLICK HERE
BENCHMARK TREASURY YIELD: CLIMBING INTO THE CLOUD - CLICK HERE
Q3 EARNINGS SEASON 'CRITICAL TEST' FOR BIG TECH - SAXO BANK - CLICK HERE
US ELECTIONS AND THE NEXT ECB RATE CUT LIVE MARKETS - CLICK HERE
STOXX INCHES UP, Q3 REPORTING STEAMS AHEAD - CLICK HERE
EUROPE BEFORE THE BELL: HSBC BEAT AND MORE EARNINGS - CLICK HERE
RISK SPOTLIGHT SWINGS TO EARNINGS AVALANCHE - CLICK HERE
YoY change in crude prices https://tmsnrt.rs/4e3pAgx
Aloqador aktivlar
Eng oxirgi yangiliklar
Javobgarlikdan voz kechish: XM Group korxonalari har biri faqat ijro xizmatlarini koʻrsatadi va onlayn savdo platformamizdan foydalanish huquqini beradi, bu odamga veb-saytda yoki veb-sayt orqali mavjud boʻlgan kontentni koʻrish va/yoki undan foydalanishga ruxsat beradi hamda uni oʻzgartirishga moʻljallanmagan va uni oʻzgartirmaydi yoki kengaytirmaydi. Bunday kirish va foydalanish huquqi doimo quyidagilarga boʻysunadi: (i) Shartlar va qoidalar; (ii) Risklar haqida ogohlantirish; va (iii) Javobgarlikni toʻliq rad etish. Shuning uchun bunday kontent umumiy maʼlumot sifatida taqdim etiladi. Xususan, shuni esda tutingki, bizning onlayn savdo platformamiz mazmuni moliyaviy bozorlarda biror bitimni amalga oshirishga oid maslahat yoki taklif emas. Har qanday moliyaviy bozorda savdo qilish sizning kapitalingiz uchun jiddiy risk darajasini oʻz ichiga oladi.
Onlayn savdo platformamizda chop etilgan barcha materiallar faqat taʼlim/axborot maqsadlari uchun moʻljallangan va unda moliyaviy, investitsiya soligʻi yoki savdo maslahatlari va tavsiyalar; yoki bizning savdo narxlarimizning qaydlari; yoki har qanday moliyaviy vositalar bilan bitim tuzish maslahati yoki taklifi; yoki sizga kerak boʻlmagan moliyaviy reklama aksiyalari hisoblanmaydi
Har qanday uchinchi tomon kontenti, shuningdek XM tomonidan tayyorlangan kontent, masalan: fikrlar, yangiliklar, tadqiqotlar, tahlillar, narxlar va boshqa maʼlumotlar yoki bu veb-saytda joylashgan uchinchi tomon saytlariga havolalar umumiy bozor sharhi sifatida "boricha" taqdim etiladi va investitsiya maslahatini tashkil etmaydi. Har qanday kontent investitsiya tadqiqoti sifatida talqin qilinsa, siz bunday kontentni investitsiya tadqiqotlarining mustaqilligini ragʻbatlantirish uchun moʻljallangan qonun talablariga muvofiq moʻljallanmagan va tayyorlanmaganligini eʼtiborga olishingiz va qabul qilishingiz kerak, shuning uchun unga tegishli qonunlar va qoidalarga muvofiq marketing kommunikatsiyasi sifatida qaraladi. Mustaqil boʻlmagan investitsiya tadqiqoti va yuqoridagi maʼlumotlarga oid risk haqida ogohlantirishimizni oʻqib chiqqaningizga va tushunganingizga ishonch hosil qiling, unga bu yerdan kirish mumkin.