Individual Investor bears thin out, bulls beef up - AAII
Major U.S. stock indexes advance, Dow out front
Financials lead S&P sector gainers; Tech, Cons disc slip
Euro STOXX 600 index up ~0.5%
Dollar off; gold up ~1%; bitcoin up ~4%; crude dips
U.S. 10-Year Treasury yield edges down to ~4.07%
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INDIVIDUAL INVESTOR BEARS THIN OUT, BULLS BEEF UP - AAII
Pessimism among individual investors over the short-term outlook for U.S. stocks tumbled in the latest American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey. With this, both optimism and neutral sentiment increased.
Meanwhile, one third of investors surveyed said the economy and/or inflation is the factor most influencing their six month outlook for where stocks are headed.
AAII reported that bearish sentiment, or expectations that stock prices will fall over the next six months, slid 6.7 percentage points to 20.6%. Bearish sentiment is now "unusually low," hitting its lowest level since December 14, 2023 (19.3%). It's below its historical average of 31.0% for the eighth time in nine weeks.
Bullish sentiment, or expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, rose 3.6 percentage points to 49.0%. Bullish sentiment is "unusually high" and is above its historical average of 37.5% for the 48th time in 49 weeks.
Neutral sentiment, or expectations that stock prices will stay essentially unchanged over the next six months, added 3.2 percentage points to 30.4%. Neutral sentiment is below its historical average of 31.5% for the 14th consecutive week.
With these changes, the bull-bear spread widened 10.3 percentage points to 28.5% from 18.2% last week. The spread is above its historical average of 6.5% for the 22nd time in 23 weeks.
In this week’s special question, AAII asked its members which factor is most influencing their six-month outlook for stocks.
Here is AAII's graphic showing how they responded:
(Terence Gabriel)
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AAIISQ10112024 https://tmsnrt.rs/3BSiwG0
AAII10112024C https://tmsnrt.rs/4eV1fel
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