Individual Investor bears perk up - AAII
Main U.S. indexes rally; Dow out front, up ~1%
All S&P 500 sectors green; Materials up most
Euro STOXX 600 index up ~0.7%
Dollar dips; crude up slightly; gold up ~1%; bitcoin up >2%
U.S. 10-Year Treasury yield edges down to ~3.66%
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INDIVIDUAL INVESTOR BEARS PERK UP - AAII
Pessimism among individual investors over the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market jumped in the latest American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey. With this, both optimism decreased and neutral sentiment slipped.
Meanwhile, a little over half of investors surveyed say the current state of the housing market is mixed.
AAII reported that bearish sentiment, or expectations that stock prices will fall over the next six months, advanced 6.0 percentage points to 31.0%. Bearish sentiment reached its historical average of 31.0% for the first time in five weeks.
Bullish sentiment, or expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, declined 5.5 percentage points to 39.8%. Bullish sentiment is above its historical average of 37.5% for the 44th time in 45 weeks.
Neutral sentiment, or expectations that stock prices will stay essentially unchanged over the next six months, edged down 0.5 percentage points to 29.3%. Neutral sentiment is below its historical average of 31.5% for the 10th consecutive week.
With these changes, the bull-bear spread tumbled 11.6 percentage points to 8.8% from 20.4% last week. The spread is above its historical average of 6.5% for the 18th time in 19 weeks.
In this week’s special question, AAII asked its members about their perception of the current state of the housing market.
Here's AAII 's graphic showing how they responded:
(Terence Gabriel)
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AAII09132024B https://tmsnrt.rs/3XH810Z
AAIISQ09132024 https://tmsnrt.rs/3XFmL0m
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