European defence stocks rally as Trump elected US president
Europe aerospace and defence index hits record high
Analysts see rise in military spending in Europe
Trump might bring about rapid end to Ukraine war
Most global funds still have no exposure to sector
Adds fund manager quotes, details, updates prices
By Danilo Masoni
MILAN, Nov 6 (Reuters) -European defence stocks were among the leading gainers on Wednesday after Republican Donald Trump was elected US president, in a remarkable return that is fuelling bets of higher military spending in the region.
Trump back in the White House is seen as bullish for European defence stocks, given his warnings that he would scale back U.S. military support and force NATO members to spend 2% or more of their GDP on defence.
"Trump's victory puts U.S. commitments to NATO and European security in doubt," said Tom Bailey, head of ETF Research at HANetf. "While European countries have already ramped up defence spending to 'Trump proof' their security, his return potentially accelerates this".
An index of European aerospace and defence stocks .SXPARO soared as much as 3.5% to a fresh record high by 1206 GMT, bringing gains so far in 2024 to 32%, twice as much the surge in theMSCI indexof world stocks .MIWO00000PUS.
Top gainers on the index included Germany's Hensoldt HAGG.DE, Rolls-Royce RR.L and BAE Systems BAES.L in the UK, Italy's Leonardo LDOF.MI and France's Safran SAF.PA. Their shares rose between 2.3 and 4%. Sweden's SAAB SAABb.ST was down 0.9% after earlier rising as much as 4%.
Some analysts have also said if Trump follows through on pledges to quickly resolve the war in Ukraine, there is the possibility that the sector goes through heightened volatility, which might create some buying opportunities.
"I expect an increase in the defencebudgets. The war in Ukraine will likely end more quickly than previously anticipated, while the situation in the Middle East may become more complicated," said Andrea Scauri, senior portfolio manager at Swiss asset manager Lemanik.
Morgan Stanley's investor positioning data shows 72% of global funds have no exposure to the European defence sector.
Reporting by Danilo Masoni; additional reporting by Bansari Mayur Kamdar; Editing by Amanda Cooper
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