Citi FX strategists short the euro
STOXX 600 down 0.7%
China-exposed names weak as stimulus disappoints
BA-owner soars after results
Wall St futures lower
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CITI FX STRATEGISTS SHORT THE EURO
FX strategists at Citigroup have proposed a short euro position against the dollar, due to underpriced tariff risk.
The bank is targeting a fall in the euro to $1.06-$1.0630 then a further drop to $1.0350-$1.0450. The trade was opened on Thursday at $1.0808.
"After the election results, we noted we would like to sell EURUSD rallies rather than chase price action," Citi strategists said in a note late on Thursday.
The euro suffered a 1.8% fall against the dollar on Wednesday, its biggest daily drop since March 2020 at the peak of COVID-19 worries.
But the currency bounced 0.7% yesterday, providing a selling opportunity for Citi strategists.
Thursday's "developments provide better risk/reward for EURUSD shorts, and Chair Powell’s presser indicated some potential for slowing the pace of easing next year, which is marginally USD positive," they said.
"Moreover, Trump premium still does not look fully priced if Republican control of the House is confirmed, and we see potential for another ~3% in EURUSD downside as a result."
(Samuel Indyk)
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