Is Fed independence under threat? Probably not...
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IS FED INDEPENDENCE UNDER THREAT? PROBABLY NOT...
One of the big talking points for markets after Trump's comprehensive election victory is the Federal Reserve and whether the central bank will bow to likely pressure from the government to lower interest rates.
Trump's proposed policies are expected to keep price pressures elevated, analysts have said, causing a dilemma for the Fed who has recently embarked on an easing cycle and cut rates for the second time on Thursday.
"If moves on trade, immigration, or fiscal policy end up adding to inflation, then the Fed could end up hiking rates later next year, notwithstanding protestations from the incoming President," says Mark Dowding BlueBay Asset Management CIO.
But, Dowding adds, it is understood from Trump's victory that workers don't want to see rising prices.
"In this respect, we are more inclined to play down fears, in terms of an attack on the Fed’s independence, by Trump," Dowding says.
"It is clear that Trump will want short-term rates and mortgage rates to drop, but ensuring there is not a repeat of the inflation experience of the past few years will be an overarching priority."
(Samuel Indyk)
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