US recap: EUR/USD weakens as market puzzles over global cyber wobble
July 19 (Reuters) -The dollar rose on Friday, strengthening further away from recent lows as markets puzzled over a tech outage that hamstrung industries ranging from travel to finance while investors also prepared for key data releases next week that will included the Fed's favorite inflation indicator.
While the tech issues emanating from a software update by global cybersecurity firm CrowdStrike enhanced the dollar's safe-haven appeal, investors will be looking to next Friday's PCE release to affirm the recent increase in betting on Fed interest rate cuts this year.
Though some rate cut exuberance has been tempered from this week's extremes, the futures market is still fully discounting two quarter-point reductions this year and a strong chance of a third.
By March, the market foresees 100bp of easing by the U.S. central bank.
U.S. Treasury yields rose 4-6bp across maturities with the 2s-10s curve little changed around -27bp.
Though still inverted, the curve has steepened from a depth of -50bp in late June as markets priced in a greater chance of Donald Trump winning the November presidential election, with all of the fiscal, tax and trade policy ramifications that might entail.
The S&P 500 was down 0.59% by New York afternoon trade, deepening the sell-off from recent record highs driven by tech stocks and mixed earnings, while investors assessed the impact the cyber outage that knocked down CrowdStrike's shares.
WTI tumbled 3.19% as oil prices reacted to renewed hopes of a ceasefire in Gaza as well as the firmer dollar.
Copper was down 1.04%, falling for a fifth straight session that took it to its lowest level in three months on disquiet about a weak Chinese economy and the lack of stimulus announcements.
Gold slid 1.89% as the dollar gained and profit taking kicked in following bullion's all-time peak hit earlier this week, which was fueled by rising expectations of a U.S. interest rate cut in September.
Heading toward the close: EUR/USD -0.16%, USD/JPY +0.07%, GBP/USD -0.27%, AUD/USD -0.34%.
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(Burton Frierson)
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