Bearish bets on two-year Treasury futures smallest since May -CFTC data
Adds details, table
Sept 6 (Reuters) -Speculators cut their net short bets on two-year Treasuries to the smallest since May in the latest week, while bearish bets on five-year and 10-year Treasury futures increased, according to data by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission on Friday.
Bearish positions on interest rate-sensitive two-year Treasury futures fell to 982,462 contracts 1042601NNET in the week ended Sept. 3, from 1,029,110 the prior week.
Net short bets on five-year note futures grew to 1,718,696 contracts from 1,656,257 1044601NNET. Bearish bets on the benchmark 10-year note futures rose to 1,002,827 contracts from 914,437, the data showed. 1043602NNET
Benchmark 10-year yields fell to a 15-month low on Friday, while two-year yields were the lowest since March 2023 after data showed that employers addedfewer jobs than economists’ anticipated in August.
The yields have tumbled as investors price in aggressive Federal Reserve rate cuts on an expectations the economy will slow. Many economists, however, see the U.S. avoiding a recession.
Other data showed that net short bets on U.S. bonds increased to 33,044 contracts, from 14,234 1020601NNET, and U.S. Long T-bonds short bets fell to 240,202 contracts, the smallest since August 2021, from 269,698 1020604NNET.
Below is a table of the speculative positions in Treasury futures on the Chicago Board of Trade in the latest week:
U.S. 2-year T-notes (Contracts of $200,000)
03 Sep 2024 week | Prior week | |
Long | 614,392 | 604,289 |
Short | 1,596,854 | 1,633,399 |
Net | -982,462 | -1,029,110 |
U.S. 5-year T-notes (Contracts of $100,000)
03 Sep 2024 week | Prior week | |
Long | 548,634 | 545,315 |
Short | 2,267,330 | 2,201,572 |
Net | -1,718,696 | -1,656,257 |
U.S. 10-year T-notes (Contracts of $100,000)
03 Sep 2024 week | Prior week | |
Long | 430,206 | 421,807 |
Short | 1,433,033 | 1,336,244 |
Net | -1,002,827 | -914,437 |
U.S. T-bonds (Contracts of $100,000)
03 Sep 2024 week | Prior week | |
Long | 350,527 | 347,170 |
Short | 383,571 | 361,404 |
Net | -33,044 | -14,234 |
U.S. Long T-bonds (Contracts of $100,000)
03 Sep 2024 week | Prior week | |
Long | 159,543 | 157,927 |
Short | 399,745 | 427,625 |
Net | -240,202 | -269,698 |
Reporting By Karen Brettell; Editing by Leslie Adler and Diane Craft
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