What does Trump 2.0 mean for big tech?
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WHAT DOES TRUMP 2.0 MEAN FOR BIG TECH?
The U.S. election result is clear cut, but markets remain on tenterhooks for more clarity on Trump's policy direction. And Big tech is in focus given its massive weighting on U.S. - and indeed world - stock markets.
Saxo’s chief investment strategist, Charu Chanana has shared her thoughts on what "Trump 2.0" might mean for the space in a note.
Firstly she sees deregulation as a positive for AI initiatives, reducing compliance burdens and potentially fostering faster innovation.
"Big Tech companies with data center exposure could see significant gains if energy capacity is expanded to support AI growth," she adds. This could boost AI infrastructure stocks.
But tariffs could be a headwind.
"Replacing Biden’s subsidies under the CHIPS Act with tariffs on imported components could pressure tech firms to relocate production domestically, especially in semiconductors," she writes.
So the question of big tech under Trump is more nuanced than a simple positive or negative. For that reason Saxo is staying alert for any announcements.
Here's the gist of what the team at Saxo are looking out for when it comes to a few of the tech titans:
Tesla: Elon Musk's close advisory role could position Tesla to gain from favorable government policies, but Musk’s influence may also attract scrutiny if policies seem to favor Tesla too heavily
Meta: there may be a softened stance on a TikTok ban, potentially increasing competition for Meta in user engagement. If Meta's engagement is impacted by TikTok, Truth Social, or Elon Musk's X, its high AI investment might come under investor scrutiny
Apple: faces significant risk from tariffs due to heavy reliance on China for iPhone production
Alphabet: key risk lies in potential antitrust policies. Ongoing scrutiny could impact business model and long-term growth strategy
Nvidia: may benefit from increased demand for AI infrastructure if deregulation and energy capacity expansion move forward. Key to watch will be Trump’s stance on Taiwan, and how it affects Nvidia’s key supplier TSMC.
(Lucy Raitano)
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