Warren Buffett sagely ignores his own advice
The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.
By Jeffrey Goldfarb
NEW YORK, Aug 6 (Reuters Breakingviews) -Warren Buffett has dropped so much investment wisdom over the past six decades, it would be amazing if even he could keep it all straight. For example, he has scoffed at the idea that cash is king. And yet his conglomerate Berkshire Hathaway BRKa.N now sits on a war chest bulging with some $275 billion of it. It should be helpful as stock markets wobble.
The logic of the Nebraska billionaire’s aversion to excess cash is hard to dispute. It’s “always a bad investment,” he said in 2009, because inflation erodes its value over time. As recently as February, he conceded that Berkshire had more of it than “conventional wisdom deems necessary.” After the company nearly halved its massive stake in Apple AAPL.O during the second quarter, its cash and easily monetizable investments swelled further, to about a quarter of assets, twice the proportion from a decade earlier.
Of course, the funds won’t be entirely unproductive. With borrowing costs higher, they can generate more than $1 billion a month for Berkshire and its shareholders by being loaned, virtually risk-free, to the U.S. government. To Buffett’s point, however, in the eight years since Berkshire first invested in Apple in early 2016, the iPhone maker’s share price has more than octupled even as it paid out tens of billions of dollars in dividends.
It’s unclear whether Buffett feels overexposed to Apple, sees a better place to deploy the money or is more broadly worried about stocks in general. Either way, his cash towers over the hoards at non-financial S&P 500 companies, which amounted to $1.2 trillion in the first quarter, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence. For those that have reported second-quarter results, Amazon.com’s AMZN.O $71 billion is a distant second to Berkshire. Collectively, private equity funds have roughly $4 trillion of capital to spend, consultancy Bain
estimates.
Opportunity could be on its way. Investors anticipate wild swings in valuations, evidenced by the sharp jump in the CBOE Market Volatility Index .VIX and the recent ructions in equities worldwide. Economists are increasingly fearful of a slowdown in consumer spending and a possible U.S. recession over the next year. And the forward 12-month ratio of price to earnings for the S&P 500 Index .SPX, at almost 21 times, has been trading higher than the 10-year average of about 18 times, according to FactSet. Buffett may be violating his own cash hoarding principles, but he rarely forgets the importance of when to get greedy.
Follow @jgfarb on X
CONTEXT NEWS
Berkshire Hathaway on Aug. 3 disclosed that it sold about 390 million shares of Apple, or around half its stake, during the second quarter and that its cash holdings had increased to $277 billion. It was the seventh consecutive quarter that the conglomerate led by billionaire investor Warren Buffett had sold more stocks than it bought.
Graphic: Warren Buffett's cash is king https://reut.rs/46zAZT4
Editing by John Foley and Sharon Lam
Aloqador aktivlar
Eng oxirgi yangiliklar
Javobgarlikdan voz kechish: XM Group korxonalari har biri faqat ijro xizmatlarini koʻrsatadi va onlayn savdo platformamizdan foydalanish huquqini beradi, bu odamga veb-saytda yoki veb-sayt orqali mavjud boʻlgan kontentni koʻrish va/yoki undan foydalanishga ruxsat beradi hamda uni oʻzgartirishga moʻljallanmagan va uni oʻzgartirmaydi yoki kengaytirmaydi. Bunday kirish va foydalanish huquqi doimo quyidagilarga boʻysunadi: (i) Shartlar va qoidalar; (ii) Risklar haqida ogohlantirish; va (iii) Javobgarlikni toʻliq rad etish. Shuning uchun bunday kontent umumiy maʼlumot sifatida taqdim etiladi. Xususan, shuni esda tutingki, bizning onlayn savdo platformamiz mazmuni moliyaviy bozorlarda biror bitimni amalga oshirishga oid maslahat yoki taklif emas. Har qanday moliyaviy bozorda savdo qilish sizning kapitalingiz uchun jiddiy risk darajasini oʻz ichiga oladi.
Onlayn savdo platformamizda chop etilgan barcha materiallar faqat taʼlim/axborot maqsadlari uchun moʻljallangan va unda moliyaviy, investitsiya soligʻi yoki savdo maslahatlari va tavsiyalar; yoki bizning savdo narxlarimizning qaydlari; yoki har qanday moliyaviy vositalar bilan bitim tuzish maslahati yoki taklifi; yoki sizga kerak boʻlmagan moliyaviy reklama aksiyalari hisoblanmaydi
Har qanday uchinchi tomon kontenti, shuningdek XM tomonidan tayyorlangan kontent, masalan: fikrlar, yangiliklar, tadqiqotlar, tahlillar, narxlar va boshqa maʼlumotlar yoki bu veb-saytda joylashgan uchinchi tomon saytlariga havolalar umumiy bozor sharhi sifatida "boricha" taqdim etiladi va investitsiya maslahatini tashkil etmaydi. Har qanday kontent investitsiya tadqiqoti sifatida talqin qilinsa, siz bunday kontentni investitsiya tadqiqotlarining mustaqilligini ragʻbatlantirish uchun moʻljallangan qonun talablariga muvofiq moʻljallanmagan va tayyorlanmaganligini eʼtiborga olishingiz va qabul qilishingiz kerak, shuning uchun unga tegishli qonunlar va qoidalarga muvofiq marketing kommunikatsiyasi sifatida qaraladi. Mustaqil boʻlmagan investitsiya tadqiqoti va yuqoridagi maʼlumotlarga oid risk haqida ogohlantirishimizni oʻqib chiqqaningizga va tushunganingizga ishonch hosil qiling, unga bu yerdan kirish mumkin.
