US recap: EUR/USD slightly firmer as dollar wobbles on Fed-50 view
Sept 13 (Reuters) -The dollar fell Friday as odds of a 50 basis point Fed rate cut Wednesday were lifted following various media reports on the policy outlook.
Current market pricing stands at about 45% for such a cut, rising from under 20% earlier this week.
Risk- and yield-sensitive currencies outperformed on the session as lower Treasury yields fueled a rally in shares.
Inflation fears eased after a report U.S. import prices fell a more-than-expected 0.3% in August with export prices dropping 0.7% on the month.
The University of Michigan sentiment index for September improved more than expected as one-year inflation expectations eased.
European Central Bank President Lagarde said the central bank remains an independent institution not subject to any political pressure, rebuffing Italian calls for bigger interest rate cuts.
ECB policy maker Robert Holzmann said that rates could fall to 2.5% by mid-2025, the FT reported.
The Biden administration locked in tariff hikes on Chinese imports Friday.
Treasury yields fell across tenors with the policy-sensitive 2-year dropping about 3 basis points as the curve steepened. The 2s-10s curve moved to +3.7bp.
The S&P 500 rose 0.68%.
WTI fell 0.43%, reversing an earlier gain as weekly data showed the U.S. adding drillers while Hurricane Francine’s impact abated.
Copper advanced 0.72% amid a broad rally in metals as the greenback fell.
Gold rose 0.95%, setting a fresh record near $2586 per ounce.
Heading toward the close: EUR/USD +0.06%, USD/JPY -0.60%, GBP/USD -0.03%, AUD/USD -0.21%, DXY -0.27%, EUR/JPY -0.55%, GBP/JPY -0.61%, AUD/JPY -1.01%.
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Editing by Burton Frierson
Robert Fullem is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own.
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