UMG, Taylor Swift's music label, sees higher profit, helped by superfans
Taylor Swift's music label holds capital markets day
UMG sees 10% annual EBITDA growth through to 2028
Sees 7% annual revenue growth in the period
Event an opportunity to address subscription revenue concerns
Adds consensus, subscription growth figure and context, analyst quote, META partnership context
Sept 17 (Reuters) -Universal Music Group UMG.AS said on Tuesday it expects annual core profit growth of more than 10% through to 2028 on higher subscription revenue, expanded partnerships and boosted by the superfans of its artists such as Taylor Swift, BTS and Drake.
The world's biggest music label, which announced its financial targets through 2028 ahead of a capital markets day, also said it expects compound annual revenuegrowth of 7% in the period.
The forecast was better than the consensus outlook for 6.1% annual revenue growth and 8.8% annual adjusted EBITDA growth, according to ING.
Analysts have said the capital markets day, to be held at London's famed Abbey Road Studios, will be an opportunity for the group to spell out how it plans to revive slowing subscriber and streaming growth, which triggered a 30% slump in its stock in late July after second-quarter figures fell short of expectations.
In Tuesday's outlook, UMG said it sees annual subscription revenue growth of between 8% and 10%, higher than the consensus of 6.6%, as quoted by ING.
J.P. Morgan said the targets are consistent with its forecasts and better than consensus.
"We believe consensus forecasts are too conservative on subscription growth and other revenues streams and EBITDA forecasts do not fully reflect operational gearing and announced cost savings over the next 3 years," it adds.
UMG expects a free cash flow conversion rate (before investing activity) of between 60% and 70%, it said.
In mid-August, UMG announced an expanded agreement with Facebook-parent Meta Platforms META.O to create new opportunities for its artists and songwriters across Meta's social platforms.
The company's second-quarter subscription revenue growth slowed to 6.9% from 12.5% in the first quarter, missing the 11.1% estimate in a company-compiled consensus cited by Barclays.
For 2023, UMG reported an 11% increase in adjusted earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) of 2.4 billion euros ($2.67 billion). At constant exchange rates, EBITDA gained 14.6%.
UMG shares were up 3.4% in morning trading.
($1 = 0.8988 euros)
Reporting by Michal Aleksandrowicz in Gdansk; Editing by Sharon Singleton
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Javobgarlikdan voz kechish: XM Group korxonalari har biri faqat ijro xizmatlarini koʻrsatadi va onlayn savdo platformamizdan foydalanish huquqini beradi, bu odamga veb-saytda yoki veb-sayt orqali mavjud boʻlgan kontentni koʻrish va/yoki undan foydalanishga ruxsat beradi hamda uni oʻzgartirishga moʻljallanmagan va uni oʻzgartirmaydi yoki kengaytirmaydi. Bunday kirish va foydalanish huquqi doimo quyidagilarga boʻysunadi: (i) Shartlar va qoidalar; (ii) Risklar haqida ogohlantirish; va (iii) Javobgarlikni toʻliq rad etish. Shuning uchun bunday kontent umumiy maʼlumot sifatida taqdim etiladi. Xususan, shuni esda tutingki, bizning onlayn savdo platformamiz mazmuni moliyaviy bozorlarda biror bitimni amalga oshirishga oid maslahat yoki taklif emas. Har qanday moliyaviy bozorda savdo qilish sizning kapitalingiz uchun jiddiy risk darajasini oʻz ichiga oladi.
Onlayn savdo platformamizda chop etilgan barcha materiallar faqat taʼlim/axborot maqsadlari uchun moʻljallangan va unda moliyaviy, investitsiya soligʻi yoki savdo maslahatlari va tavsiyalar; yoki bizning savdo narxlarimizning qaydlari; yoki har qanday moliyaviy vositalar bilan bitim tuzish maslahati yoki taklifi; yoki sizga kerak boʻlmagan moliyaviy reklama aksiyalari hisoblanmaydi
Har qanday uchinchi tomon kontenti, shuningdek XM tomonidan tayyorlangan kontent, masalan: fikrlar, yangiliklar, tadqiqotlar, tahlillar, narxlar va boshqa maʼlumotlar yoki bu veb-saytda joylashgan uchinchi tomon saytlariga havolalar umumiy bozor sharhi sifatida "boricha" taqdim etiladi va investitsiya maslahatini tashkil etmaydi. Har qanday kontent investitsiya tadqiqoti sifatida talqin qilinsa, siz bunday kontentni investitsiya tadqiqotlarining mustaqilligini ragʻbatlantirish uchun moʻljallangan qonun talablariga muvofiq moʻljallanmagan va tayyorlanmaganligini eʼtiborga olishingiz va qabul qilishingiz kerak, shuning uchun unga tegishli qonunlar va qoidalarga muvofiq marketing kommunikatsiyasi sifatida qaraladi. Mustaqil boʻlmagan investitsiya tadqiqoti va yuqoridagi maʼlumotlarga oid risk haqida ogohlantirishimizni oʻqib chiqqaningizga va tushunganingizga ishonch hosil qiling, unga bu yerdan kirish mumkin.
