Markets serene but sensitive ahead of key US data
STOXX 600 little changed
BT shares up on Drahi stake sale
Volatility ebbs
Wall St futures edge up
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MARKETS SERENE BUT SENSITIVE AHEAD OF KEY US DATA
A calm feeling has descended upon markets, in stark contrast to one week ago, when the yen carry trade unwinding and U.S. recession fears spurred a massive sell-off.
But the calm feeling might not last. Data releases this week are significant and have the power to disturb the peace.
Mark Haefele, global wealth management CIO at UBS warns that volatility could return following the release of U.S. inflation data for July.
"If inflation is too low this may heighten concerns that the US may be heading for a
recession," says Haefele.
"If inflation is too high, it could encourage fears that the Fed may be unable to cut rates quickly enough to protect the economy."
The CPI print will hit screens on Wednesday at 1230 GMT.
BofA economists expect core inflation to be unchanged at 3.3% year-on-year.
"... it should meet the Fed's benchmark for beginning rate cuts in September," they say.
The Fed meets on Sept 17-18.
The inflation data comes nestled between two other key U.S. data releases, namely PPI on Tuesday and weekly jobless claims figures on Thursday.
Rabobank analysts say markets are expected to remain particularly sensitive to fresh hints around labour market conditions across the Atlantic.
"Those weekly claims numbers are generally considered to be second-tier data, but they have taken on increased importance since the release of the July non-farm payrolls report the Friday before last," they explain in a note.
(Lucy Raitano)
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FOR MONDAY'S OTHER LIVE MARKETS POSTS:
SUMMERTIME SADNESS CLICK HERE
SMOOTH SAILING CLICK HERE
FUTURES IN THE GREEN CLICK HERE
MARKETS SHIFT TO HOLIDAY MOODCLICK HERE
European equities steadily higher https://reut.rs/3yMqn6S
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