JGB yields mixed; investors assess policy outlook as yen struggles
By Brigid Riley
TOKYO, Oct 17 (Reuters) - Japanese government bond yields were mixed on Thursday amid a calendar light on fresh material, while investors assessed the possible outlook for Japan's monetary policy.
The 10-year JGB yield JP10YTN=JBTC rose 1 basis point to 0.96%, while 10-year JGB futures 2JGBv1 was down 0.13 points to 143.88 yen.
The 30-year JGB yield JP30YTN=JBTC slid 2 bps to 2.135%.
U.S. Treasury yields, which the JGB market tends to follow, dipped on Wednesday ahead of data on consumer strength, but ticked higher during Asian trading hours. US/
JGBs have largely mirrored the movement in U.S. Treasuries this month, after the Bank of Japan signalled it was in no hurry to raise interest rates again and Japan's new prime minister said the economy is not ready for further rate hikes.
But the yen's slide back towards the 150-per-dollar level on Thursday has had investors pondering if the currency could impact the central bank's monetary policy outlook. FRX/
"If this trend continues, I think it will generate speculation that the Bank of Japan and the government will have to change their policy stances again," said Noriatsu Tanji, chief bond strategist at Mizuho Securities.
Still, with current foreign exchange moves governed more by U.S.-Japan rate differentials, Tanji, who expects the recent rise in U.S. yields to be limited, said further declines in the yen is unlikely.
The two-year JGB yield JP2YTN=JBTC, which corresponds more closely with monetary policy expectations, rose 1 bp to its highest since Aug. 2 at 0.43%.
The five-year yield JP5YTN=JBTC also ticked up 1 bp to 0.585%.
The 20-year JGB yield JP20YTN=JBTC was flat at 1.735%.
The BOJ announced on Wednesday it will continue to carry out the same measures laid out in 2022 regarding the Securities Lending Facility for cheapest-to-deliver issues to ensure stability in the market.
Japan's $9 trillion bond market is bracing for disruption as a shortage of paper caused by the BOJ's massive buying is expected to hit the settlement of derivatives used by investors and the dealers who underwrite the nation's debt sales.
Reporting by Brigid Riley; Editing by Varun H K
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