Dow Industrials lined up to make the 40k leap?
Main U.S. equity index futures green: Dow up ~0.5%
Jul NY Fed Manufacturing -6.6 vs -8.0 estimate
Euro STOXX 600 index off ~0.6%
Dollar slips; gold, crude edge up; bitcoin up 9%
U.S. 10-Year Treasury yield rises to ~4.23%
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DOW INDUSTRIALS LINED UP TO MAKE THE 40K LEAP?
The Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI continues to flirt with 40k level. That said, with e-mini Dow futures 1YMcv1 rising more than 200 points, or around 0.5%, in premarket trade on Monday, the blue-chip average appears poised to make another attempt to more forthrightly vault above the psychological hurdle:
On Friday, the Dow hit a fresh intraday record high at 40,257.24. However, as a result of late weakness, it ended at 40,000.90, which was just shy of its 40,003.59 record closing high set on May 17. With this, the DJI is up 6.1% YTD.
Of note, it's now been 77 trading days since the Dow first nearly tagged 40k back on March 21st of this year. Thus, as has happened at times in the past, a round number has been proving difficult to cleanly overwhelm.
In the event the Dow can finally clear the hurdle, there are two log-scale resistance lines which may present the next big challenges. One line from the Y2K peak is now around 42,175 on a weekly basis. Another line from the 2007 high is now around 43,875 on a weekly basis. These lines are now around 5.4% and 9.7% above Friday's close.
A reversal below support in the 39,146-38,908 area, where the 50- and 100-day moving day averages now also currently reside, may suggest the Dow has once again stumbled, which could then lead to intensifying downside pressure.
(Terence Gabriel)
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FOR MONDAY'S EARLIER LIVE MARKETS POSTS:
GERMAN BOURSE IS EUROPE'S HIDDEN CHAMPION, DEUTSCHE BANK SAYS - CLICK HERE
SMIDs: TURNING WORDS INTO ACTION - CLICK HERE
EUROPEAN STOCKS FALL, LUXURY NAMES SLIDE - CLICK HERE
EUROPEAN FUTURES LOWER AS TRADERS ASSESS TRUMP SHOOTING -CLICK HERE
TRUMP SHOOTING RICOCHETS IN TREASURIES - CLICK HERE
DJI07152024B https://tmsnrt.rs/3WlQXwE
(Terence Gabriel is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)
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