Wall Street hits record high; dollar, Treasury yields surge as Trump wins presidency
Adds quote, updates prices
Trump elected US president in stunning comeback
Major stock indices on Wall St jump to record highs
Dollar climbs, euro down 2%
Treasury yields surge as 30 year yield rises as much as 20 bps
Mexican peso hits two-year low
By Koh Gui Qing and Dhara Ranasinghe
NEW YORK/LONDON, Nov 6 (Reuters) -Wall Street marched to record highs on Wednesday and major stock markets around the world surged, while bitcoin also hit an all-time-high and the dollar was set for its biggest one-day jump in four years after Donald Trump was elected U.S. president.
Trump's decisive victory pummelled long-dated Treasuries as yields sank in anticipation that Trump would hike tariffs as he promised during his campaign, increasing the U.S. deficit and inflation, and causing the Federal Reserve to cut rates by less than it otherwise would have.
Trump, 78, recaptured the White House in Tuesday's election following a campaign that deepened the polarization in the country.
"In the near term, we see U.S. equities supported by solid economic and corporate earnings growth, political clarity and Federal Reserve rate cuts," BlackRock Investment Institute said. "Longer term, much depends on how much of Trump’s agenda is enacted."
The VIX, a measure of volatility also perceived as "Wall Street's fear gauge," dived 19% as investors scooped up risky assets across the board.
The S&P 500 Index .SPX jumped 1.7%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average surged 3%, and the Nasdaq Composite leapt 1.95%. All three indices hit record highs on Wednesday. .N The MSCI index for world stocks ..MIWD00000PUS rose 0.8%.
Small cap U.S. stocks in particular were boosted by expectations that a Trump presidency would offer tax cuts and support domestic companies.
The dollar index =USD rallied 1.6% and was set for its best day since September 2022.
Outside the United States, investors were decidedly less euphoric, as concerns that higher tariffs imposed by Trump would hurt global trade and economic growth weighed on markets.
European shares gave up earlier gains and fell 0.5% .STOXX, and Mexico's peso sank to its weakest level in over two years.
"The market is definitely moving in line with the Trump playbook; stocks and small caps, in particular, are higher on the idea that Trump will be good for U.S. companies," said Seema Shah, chief global strategist for Principal Asset Management in London.
"Across emerging markets, you can see China and Europe are struggling with the idea that they could face higher tariffs, and U.S. bond yields higher with expectations for a higher fiscal deficit and inflation."
BONDS DISCONNECT
U.S. borrowing costs surged particularly for longer-dated bonds, suggesting concern from investors about the U.S. deficit path.
The ten-year Treasury yield US10YT=RR rallied 16.2 basis points to 4.4531%, its largest gain in a single day in nearly seven months.
The 30-yearTreasury yield US30YT=RR rose 18 bps to 4.6298% its biggest one-dayincrease since March 2020's pandemic-inducedvolatility. US/
While markets 0#FF: were still confident the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Thursday FEDWATCH, they slightly reduced bets on further easing in December.
"The big challenge for markets is that if you do see tariffs come through you need to balance the short-term nature of inflation risks with the medium-term aspect of lower growth," said Justin Onuekwusi, chief investment officer at investment firm St. James's Place.
"The market appears to be thinking about inflation right now."
In contrast, European government bonds rallied, and German two-year bond yields fell 11 basis points to 2.19% DE2YT=RR, while money markets priced in lower European Central Bank rates.
"For European businesses, Trump’s return to the White House would mean considerable trade policy and geopolitical uncertainty, with negative implications for growth on the continent," said Berenberg chief economist Holger Schmieding.
CURRENCY WINNERS AND LOSERS
Bitcoin BTC= emerged as one of the clear winners of the day.
The cryptocurrency climbed to a record high of $75,397 and was last up 7% on the day. Trump is seen as more actively supportive of cryptocurrencies than the Democratic candidate, Vice President Kamala Harris.
In traditional currencies, the euro was hurt by potential tariffs and the widening differential between U.S. and European rates, and was last down 1.8% at $1.0729 EUR=EBS, set for its biggest daily fall since 2016's Brexit referendum, outpacing a 1.3% fall in sterling. GBP=D3
The dollar, meanwhile, jumped 1.9% to 154.43 Japanese yen, JPY=EBS, and gained 1.4% on the offshore yuan CNH= to 7.1969 yuan amid reports Chinese banks were selling dollars to slow the yuan's decline.
China is seen on the front line of tariff risk, and its currency in particular is trading on tenterhooks with implied volatility against the dollar CNHSWO= around record highs.
Chinese stock markets have surged to almost one-month highs as investors expect a meeting of top policymakers in Beijing this week to approve local government debt refinancing and spending. Chinese blue chips .CSI300 lost early gains to turn flat, and Hong Kong stocks .HSI fell over 2%.
Mexico's peso MXN= briefly dropped to as low as 20.8038 per dollar for the first time since August 2022, more than 3% below its previous close - the biggest such tumble since Mexico's election in summer roiled domestic assets.
Ukraine's international sovereign bonds rallied nearly 2 cents, boosted by bets that a second Trump term could lead to a quicker end to Russia's war in Ukraine.
The sharp rise in the dollar pressured oil prices, and other commodities, as it makes them more expensive when buying in other currencies. O/R
U.S. crude CLc1 edged up 0.2% to $72.14 per barrel, while Brent LCOc1 was flat at $75.45.
Gold prices dropped 2.8% to $2,668.26 an ounce XAU=, off a recent record peak of 2,790.15 GOL/.
Investors position for a Trump win https://reut.rs/3CfrDB3
Bitcoin jumps on Trump's potential victory https://reut.rs/3Yz9q8V
Reporting by Dhara Ranasinghe in London; additional reporting by Wayne Cole in Sydney and Alun John in London;
Editing by Angus MacSwan and Marguerita Choy
To read Reuters Markets and Finance news, click on https://www.reuters.com/finance/markets For the state of play of Asian stock markets please click on: 0#.INDEXA
متعلقہ اثاثے
تازہ ترين خبريں
دستبرداری: XM Group کے ادارے ہماری آن لائن تجارت کی سہولت تک صرف عملدرآمد کی خدمت اور رسائی مہیا کرتے ہیں، کسی شخص کو ویب سائٹ پر یا اس کے ذریعے دستیاب کانٹینٹ کو دیکھنے اور/یا استعمال کرنے کی اجازت دیتا ہے، اس پر تبدیل یا توسیع کا ارادہ نہیں ہے ، اور نہ ہی یہ تبدیل ہوتا ہے یا اس پر وسعت کریں۔ اس طرح کی رسائی اور استعمال ہمیشہ مشروط ہوتا ہے: (i) شرائط و ضوابط؛ (ii) خطرہ انتباہات؛ اور (iii) مکمل دستبرداری۔ لہذا اس طرح کے مواد کو عام معلومات سے زیادہ کے طور پر فراہم کیا جاتا ہے۔ خاص طور پر، براہ کرم آگاہ رہیں کہ ہماری آن لائن تجارت کی سہولت کے مندرجات نہ تو کوئی درخواست ہے، اور نہ ہی فنانشل مارکیٹ میں کوئی لین دین داخل کرنے کی پیش کش ہے۔ کسی بھی فنانشل مارکیٹ میں تجارت میں آپ کے سرمائے کے لئے ایک خاص سطح کا خطرہ ہوتا ہے۔
ہماری آن لائن تجارتی سہولت پر شائع ہونے والے تمام مٹیریل کا مقصد صرف تعلیمی/معلوماتی مقاصد کے لئے ہے، اور اس میں شامل نہیں ہے — اور نہ ہی اسے فنانشل، سرمایہ کاری ٹیکس یا تجارتی مشورے اور سفارشات؛ یا ہماری تجارتی قیمتوں کا ریکارڈ؛ یا کسی بھی فنانشل انسٹرومنٹ میں لین دین کی پیشکش؛ یا اسکے لئے مانگ؛ یا غیر متنازعہ مالی تشہیرات پر مشتمل سمجھا جانا چاہئے۔
کوئی تھرڈ پارٹی کانٹینٹ، نیز XM کے ذریعہ تیار کردہ کانٹینٹ، جیسے: راۓ، خبریں، تحقیق، تجزیہ، قیمتیں اور دیگر معلومات یا اس ویب سائٹ پر مشتمل تھرڈ پارٹی کے سائٹس کے لنکس کو "جیسے ہے" کی بنیاد پر فراہم کیا جاتا ہے، عام مارکیٹ کی تفسیر کے طور پر، اور سرمایہ کاری کے مشورے کو تشکیل نہ دیں۔ اس حد تک کہ کسی بھی کانٹینٹ کو سرمایہ کاری کی تحقیقات کے طور پر سمجھا جاتا ہے، آپ کو نوٹ کرنا اور قبول کرنا ہوگا کہ یہ کانٹینٹ سرمایہ کاری کی تحقیق کی آزادی کو فروغ دینے کے لئے ڈیزائن کردہ قانونی تقاضوں کے مطابق نہیں ہے اور تیار نہیں کیا گیا ہے، اسی طرح، اس پر غور کیا جائے گا بطور متعلقہ قوانین اور ضوابط کے تحت مارکیٹنگ مواصلات۔ براہ کرم یقینی بنائیں کہ آپ غیر آزاد سرمایہ کاری سے متعلق ہماری اطلاع کو پڑھ اور سمجھ چکے ہیں۔ مذکورہ بالا معلومات کے بارے میں تحقیق اور رسک وارننگ ، جس تک رسائی یہاں حاصل کی جا سکتی ہے۔