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OIL-AUG24


XM 研究

Could stronger US data force a Fed rate cut?

Markets crave weaker US data to support their rate cut expectations Strong data this week could cause an acute market reaction The Fed might find it easier to act if financial stability is under threat The key question in the market participants’ minds is when the Fed is going to start easing its monetary policy stance. The year started with the market pricing in at least five rate cuts by the Fed in 2024, but with inflation remaining above 3% since July 2023, expectations have t
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Market Comment – Market craves weaker US data

Monday's weaker ISM survey pushes the dollar lower Euro/dollar rallies to a 3-month high ahead of the ECB BoC could announce a rate cut tomorrow; loonie may suffer Oil tanks as bearish factors multiply Dollar gets on the backfoot A rather busy week for the US economy started on the back foot for the US dollar yesterday as the ISM manufacturing survey edged lower in the sub-50 territory, pointing to a deteriorating outlook for this sector.
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Market Comment – Dollar rallies as market angst spreads

Higher Treasury yields contribute to stock indices’ retreat Euro under pressure as the pound benefits from the election Gold fails to benefit from risk-off; oil drops ahead of OPEC meeting Dollar is on the front foot The US dollar is gaining against its main counterparts with the euro/dollar pair dropping to a 2-week low. The catalyst for this move appears to be the bond market as the 10-year US Treasury yield is hovering above 4.6% for the first time since early May.
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Could developments in Iran and Saudi Arabia turn the tide for oil?

Iran is still quiet about reasons behind the helicopter accident Saudi Arabia’s King health scare turns focus on Crown Prince Oil still under pressure; a new catalyst could reverse the recent trend Iranian Presidential elections to be held on June 28 News of the helicopter accident, which resulted in the loss of several senior Iranian officials including President Raisi, caused a sudden chill in market participants.
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