EURNZD halted its impressive rally at a 15-month high of 1.7357 on Friday and near the top line of the upward-sloping channel, which has been navigating the market since the slide to a three year low of 1.6061 in late November. A downside correction or some consolidation would be normal at the current stage of the bullish wave, though how brutal any pullback could be is still in question since the RSI and the Stochastics, although in overbought territory, have yet to show any convincing weakn

EURNZD negative bias appears to be fading as the pair bounced back from its 1.6079 low at the beginning of the month. However, the overall bearish outlook is still maintained as the price is well below its 50- and 200-day simple moving average (SMA). The waning negative momentum is also supported by the short-term momentum indicators, as the RSI is increasing but remains below its 50 neutral mark, while the MACD is found below zero and above its red signal line.

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EURNZD found some footing around the ten-year high of 1.9922 before edging lower near the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the upward move from 1.6615 to 1.9922 at 1.9145. The red Tenkan-sen line, remains well above the blue Kijun-sen and the RSI is currently flirting with overbought levels, while the stochastic is turning lower into the positive area after the bearish cross within the %K and %D lines, which exited the overbought region.

EURNZD’s fierce move yesterday stretched towards nearly a 9-year high of 1.8980 before sellers pulled the pair south to around 1.8016, which is a high from back in September of 2015 (previous resistance-now-support). The positive picture still looks intact with the upward sloping simple moving averages (SMAs) and a nearing bullish cross of the 100 and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs) by the 50-day one.

EURNZD has gained little today but it managed to hold within the Ichimoku cloud and the 20- and 40-day simple moving averages (SMAs), with the technical indicators feeding prospects for a possible upside move. The RSI indicator is sloping upwards and is approaching the bullish zone, while the stochastic continues to strengthen after the bullish cross within the %K and %D lines.

EURNZD has come under renewed selling pressure and has fallen back below the 1.7000 handle, though it remains inside the Ichimoku cloud. The technical indicators are falling simultaneously with the price, as the RSI found a wall at the 70 level and declined sharply lower, while the stochastic created a bearish cross with its %K and %D lines in the oversold zone.