Why the Canadian freight rail halt will roil North American supply chains
Recasts with lockout
By David Ljunggren
OTTAWA, Aug 22 (Reuters) -Canada's two main freight rail companies locked out around 10,000 of their Canadian unionized workers early on Thursday,starting an unprecedented simultaneous work stoppage that will grind almost all railway freight movement in the country to a halt.
HOW INTEGRATED ARE THE RAIL NETWORKS ACROSS NORTH AMERICA?
Canadian National Railway Co CNR.TO and Canadian Pacific Kansas City CP.TO have said their rail networks south of the border will continue to operate, but industry groups fear that a work stoppage would have far-reaching effects on the movement of goods and commodities across North America.
CN and CPKC's coast-to-coast rail networks in Canada connect south of the border and serve as important supply chain links to trade corridors and ports across North America.
The networks intersect with those of U.S. rail operators such as BNSF Railway BNISF.UL, Union Pacific UNP.N, Norfolk Southern NSC.N and CSX CSX.O, facilitating the movement of billions of dollars' worth of goods and commodities through ports and warehouses across the continent.
CN's network stretches south to New Orleans. CPKC's network links to the U.S. ports of Corpus Christi, New Orleans and Gulfport, and it extends further south to the ports of Tampico and Lázaro Cárdenas on the east and west coasts of Mexico.
HOW WOULD A CANADIAN RAIL STOPPAGE AFFECT THE UNITED STATES?
Around a third of the traffic moved by the two Canadian rail companies crosses the border with the United States.
Many U.S. companies and producers, especially those in the Midwest, use Canadian ports for imports and exports, as Montreal can be faster for shipments to and from Europe, while Vancouver can be faster for ocean service to and from Asia.
Union Pacific, the No. 2 U.S. railroad operator, has warned that a simultaneous stoppage would have devastating consequences for the U.S. and Canadian economies.
Ratings agency Moody's said the stoppage could cost over C$341 million ($251.14 million) per day.
Dozens of groups representing miners, farmers, exporters, and fertilizer producers, among others, have warned that their sectors face crippling supply-chain delays, increased costs, cash-flow constraints and potential shutdowns in a protracted stoppage.
HOW WOULD THE U.S. AND CANADIAN FARM SECTORS BE AFFECTED?
A stoppage would hit the movement of everything from wheat to ethanol, potash fertilizer and meat.
In particular, it would crimp shipments of U.S. spring wheat from Minnesota, North Dakota and South Dakota to the Pacific Northwest for export. A stoppage would also hit Canadian potash and grain exports.
The U.S. exported $28.3 billion of agricultural products to Canada in 2023, making it the third-largest destination for U.S. agricultural exports behind China and Mexico. The U.S. imported $40.1 billion of Canadian agricultural products last year, making Canada the second-largest source of U.S. agricultural imports.
Ethanol, potash, corn, cereals, food grains, cooking oils, and meat are among the agricultural products traded between the two nations.
WILL TRADE WITH MEXICO BE AFFECTED TOO?
Mexico is Canada's third-largest single-country merchandise trading partner behind the U.S. and China, while Canada was Mexico's fourth-largest merchandise trading partner in 2023.
Mexico exports trucks, cars and vehicle parts to Canada, along with mangoes and avocados. Canada exports wheat, meat, aluminum, cars and parts to Mexico.
Two-way trade between the two countries, much of which moves via the rails, was nearly C$55 billion in 2023.
CAN THE TRUCKING INDUSTRY STEP INTO THE BREACH?
Truckers say they are facing a surge in demand and that road freight rates are rising for shippers in Canada. However, industry insiders say that while the trucking sector can handle some of the demand, it cannot replace rail distribution. In some cases, the industry does not have the equipment, nor the capacity, to handle bulk commodity cargoes such as potash, food grains, or coal.
($1 = 1.3578 Canadian dollars)
QUOTES-Industry groups and companies fret ahead of a Canada-wide freight rail stoppage nL4N3K6190
FACTBOX-From fertilizers to coal, Canadian industries to feel the squeeze from rail stoppage nL4N3K60S6
FACTBOX-Key facts about Canada's biggest rail operators as massive work stoppage looms nL4N3K403C
EXPLAINER-Why Canada is on the verge of an unprecedented rail labor stoppage nL1N3K60NG
Canada Railroads https://reut.rs/3Ar1I8r
2023 revenue breakup of Canada's railroads https://reut.rs/3YTaCWH
Reporting by David Ljunggren; Editing by Rod Nickel and Jamie Freed
免責聲明: XM Group提供線上交易平台的登入和執行服務，允許個人查看和/或使用網站所提供的內容，但不進行任何更改或擴展其服務和訪問權限，並受以下條款與條例約束：（i）條款與條例；（ii）風險提示；（iii）完全免責聲明。網站內部所提供的所有資訊，僅限於一般資訊用途。請注意，我們所有的線上交易平台內容並不構成，也不被視為進入金融市場交易的邀約或邀請 。金融市場交易會對您的投資帶來重大風險。
所有缐上交易平台所發佈的資料，僅適用於教育/資訊類用途，不包含也不應被視爲適用於金融、投資稅或交易相關諮詢和建議，或是交易價格紀錄，或是任何金融商品或非應邀途徑的金融相關優惠的交易邀約或邀請。
本網站的所有XM和第三方所提供的内容，包括意見、新聞、研究、分析、價格其他資訊和第三方網站鏈接，皆爲‘按原狀’，並作爲一般市場評論所提供，而非投資建議。請理解和接受，所有被歸類為投資研究範圍的相關内容，並非爲了促進投資研究獨立性，而根據法律要求所編寫，而是被視爲符合營銷傳播相關法律與法規所編寫的内容。請確保您已詳讀並完全理解我們的非獨立投資研究提示和風險提示資訊，相關詳情請點擊 這裡查看。
