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Week Ahead-US recession fears, RBA decision, China data in focus



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Aug 5 (Reuters) -Risk aversion triggered by fears of a U.S. recession, the Reserve Bank of Australia's rate decision, a moderately busy data calendar with key indicators from China, U.S. earnings reports, and speeches by Federal Reserve officials will dictate trends in financial markets this week.

The U.S. data highlights arefinal July S&P Global services and composite PMIs, ISM non-manufacturing PMI, June trade and weekly jobless claims.

Speeches by San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly, Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin and Chicago President Austan Goolsbee will be watched for further clues on policy after Fed Chair Jerome Powell flagged a September rate cut last week and fears that the Fed is behind the curve in cutting interest rates take hold.

Japan's calendar includesfinal July services and composite PMIs, June household spending and overtime pay, current account and trade data. The Bank of Japan's summary of opinions from its July 30-31 policy meeting will be scrutinised after it surprised with ahawkish rate hike.

In Europe, final euro zoneservices and composite PMIs, June producer prices and retail sales are published. German data includes industrial orders and output, and final July CPI and HICP.

The UK has a low-key week with final July services and composite PMIs due.

China's July trade data on Thursday may show weakness in exports after manufacturers front-loaded orders in June, while imports could still reflect fragile domestic consumption.Consumer and producer price dataon Friday may continue to improve but the patchy economic recovery will maintain pressure for more stimulus. Caixin July services PMI is due Monday.

The RBA is widely expected to leave its benchmark rate at 4.35% on Tuesday, but traders will be on alert for any toning down ofits hawkish stance after data showed that Australia's core inflation unexpectedly decelerated in the last quarter. The central bank also publishes updated economic forecasts andGovernor Michelle Bullock delivers a speechon Thursday.

New Zealand hasQ2 jobs data, Labour Cost Index, and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's survey of business inflation expectations.

In Canada, the focus will be on trade, jobs, the Ivey PMI, and the Bank of Canada's July meeting summary, when it cut rates for the second straight month.

For more click on FXBUZ


US unemployment rate: https://tmsnrt.rs/3piciFu

China's consumer confidence remains low: https://reut.rs/3WLgfo5


Krishna Kumar is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own. Editing by Sonali Desai

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