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Weaker dollar ahead of US Fed decision props up CEE FX



<html xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><head><title>CEE MARKETS-Weaker dollar ahead of US Fed decision props up CEE FX</title></head><body>

WARSAW, Sept 16 (Reuters) -The forint continued to firm on Monday as a weaker dollar ahead of the U.S. rates decision boosted emerging market assets including Central Eastern European currencies.

Markets are increasingly expecting an oversized 50-basis-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve later this week, putting pressure on the dollar and boosting investors' risk appetite for riskier assets.

By 1002 GMT, the Hungarian forint EURHUF= was up 0.1% against the euro to 394.20, firming for a fourth session straight to erase losses from early last week.

"I think what is really important here is the dollar weakening ahead of the FOMC decision this Wednesday," Peter Virovacz, senior economist at ING in Budapest, said.

"A bigger and bigger share of market players are expecting a 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed and...this is possibly spilling into the weaker dollar and generally improving outlook for the whole CEE region from an FX perspective."

He called the forint's move against the euro "the usual zigzagging between 393-398", adding that the Fed's decision could have implications for the Hungarian National Bank, which holds a policy decision meeting next week.

In Poland, the zloty EURPLN= also firmed 0.1% to 4.2740 per euro, returning to levels from early last week.

"It is possible that the zloty will weaken this week. The FOMC meeting will be the key event. In the case of a small rate cut by 25bps...the dollar could strengthen with a negative impact on CEE currencies," Santander Bank Polska wrote in a note.

The Czech crown EURCZK= traded 0.1% higher at 25.1350 per euro, hovering near its lowest levels since late August.



CEE MARKETS

SNAPSHOT

AT 1202 CET





CURRENCIES






Latest

Previous

Daily

Change



trade

close

change

in 2024

Czech crown

EURCZK=

25.1350

25.1540

+0.08%

#VALUE!

Hungary forint

EURHUF=

394.2000

394.6300

+0.11%

#VALUE!

Polish zloty

EURPLN=

4.2740

4.2791

+0.12%

#VALUE!

Romanian leu

EURRON=

4.9740

4.9739

-0.00%

#VALUE!

Serbian dinar

EURRSD=

116.9500

117.0500

+0.09%

#VALUE!

Note: daily change

calculated from


1800 CET










Latest

Previous

Daily

Change




close

change

in 2024

Prague

.PX

1575.19

The unexpected error occurs during parsing the formula.

#VALUE!

#VALUE!

Budapest

.BUX

72910.66

72075.48

+1.16%

#VALUE!

Warsaw

.WIG20

2303.93

2330.89

-1.16%

#VALUE!

Bucharest

.BETI

17497.86

17477.86

+0.11%

#VALUE!











Spread

Daily





vs Bund

change in

Czech Republic





spread

2-year

CZ2YT=RR

3.2390

-0.1370

+101bps

-16bps

5-year

CZ5YT=RR

3.4260

0.0270

+139bps

+1bps

10-year

CZ10YT=RR

3.6850

-0.0620

+153bps

-7bps

Poland






2-year

PL2YT=RR

4.6170

-0.0220

+239bps

-4bps

5-year

PL5YT=RR

4.9810

-0.0070

+295bps

-2bps

10-year

PL10YT=RR

5.2730

-0.0140

+312bps

-2bps


FORWARD







3x6

6x9

9x12

3M interbank

Czech Rep

CZKFRAPRIBOR=

3.83

3.44

3.11

4.32

Hungary

HUFFRABUBOR=

6.10

5.61

5.07

6.47

Poland

PLNFRAWIBOR=

5.73

5.27

4.68

5.85

Note: FRA quotes

are for ask prices




**************************************************************






Reporting by Karol Badohal in Warsaw; Editing by Shreya Biswas

For related news and prices, click on the codes in brackets:
All emerging market news EMRG CEEU CEE/

Spot FX rates
Eastern Europe spot FX EEFX= Middle East spot FX MEFX=
Asia spot FX ASIAFX= Latin America spot FX LATAMFX=

Other news and reports
World central bank news CEN Economic Data Guide ECONGUIDE
Official rates GLOBAL/INT Emerging Diary EMRG/DIARY
Top events M/DIARY Diaries DIARY Diaries Index IND/DIARY
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