Venezuela opposition still aiming for recognition of election win, but options narrow
By Vivian Sequera, Mayela Armas and Tibisay Romero
CARACAS, Aug 15 (Reuters) -Venezuela's opposition coalition is still pushing for recognition of what it says is its resounding victory in last month's presidential election, but its options are narrowing as international attention is drawn elsewhere, opposition sources and analysts said.
Electoral authorities declared President Nicolas Maduro won a third term in the July 28 contest, while tallies collected by the opposition show a victory for opposition candidate Edmundo Gonzalez.
Decrying electoral fraud by Maduro, demonstrators took to the streets. The protests, classed by the government as fascist violence, have killed 23 people and led to some 2,400 arrests.
It is a familiar scenario for Venezuela, where protests, sanctions and the declaration of an opposition-led interim presidency that was recognized by Western countries have all failed to dislodge Maduro in recent years.
With military leaders vowing to stand by him, the opposition's paths forward look limited.
For now, the opposition is focusing its response on a demand for the publication of full voting tallies, according to four opposition sources who declined to be named. They said the opposition was open to negotiations with the ruling party and is hoping international pressure could eventually bear fruit.
Gonzalez and opposition leader Maria Corina Machado, who spearheaded his campaign, have also called for supporters to keep up protests, with Machado floating the idea of possible incentives for ruling party figures to leave power.
The government had so far refused to enter talks "because within the ruling party there is not an agreed position," Machado told journalists this week. "There are groups who are clearly willing to negotiate and press for that to occur, and others who are not, who are dug in and willing to do anything."
Tallies in possession of the opposition and posted online show Gonzalez won some 7 million votes, more than double Maduro's 3.3 million. The numbers are in line with independent exit polling.
The national electoral council has not published full tallies, but says Maduro won with around 51% of the vote. Its website has been down since the early hours of July 29.
Venezuela's top court - considered by the opposition to be an arm of the ruling party - has said it is still verifying results but that the opposition failed to give evidence of its tallies.
The government is also still reviewing its calculations about how many votes the opposition may have received, said a source close to the ruling party, declining to be named.
"A dialogue would have to recognize an electoral process where the opposition was the victor," said Maria Isabel Puerta, professor of political science at Florida's Valencia College, adding that conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine could pull international attention from Venezuela.
INTERNATIONAL PRESSURE
One opposition source said they were confident Brazil, Colombia and Mexico can exercise pressure over Maduro but "internal pressure must not cease."
The United States, Argentina and Chile, among other countries, have repeatedly demanded the government publish full tallies, while Brazil, Colombia and Mexico - whose leaders have traditionally been more friendly with Maduro - are working to establish talks between Maduro and Gonzalez.
But Western nations, wary of the previous diplomatic failures, have shown few signs they plan to quickly implement tougher measures, including fresh sanctions, in response to the dispute.
Russia, China and others have congratulated Maduro on his victory.
"I feel that at least the willingness in not having completely closed the (communication) channel with Brazil, Mexico and Colombia is a good sign and we hope to see what happens this week, which I think is crucial," Machado said.
Machado has ruled out repeating the election, two diplomatic sources told Reuters this week.
Asked last week if he would accept a conversation with Machado, Maduro said she should speak with the attorney general's office.
"She should turn herself over to justice and show her face and respond for the crimes she has committed. That's truthfully the only negotiation that fits," he said.
The attorney general's office said last week it was launching a criminal probe against opposition leaders, including Machado, for inciting police and military officials to break the law, conspiracy and other crimes.
The opposition "evidently won, but it doesn't have the capacity to make its victory matter. The government lost and is trying to forcefully impose itself, which it can achieve, but at high cost," said Ricardo Rios, director of Caracas consulting firm Poder y Estrategia. International isolation could damage already weak investment, Rios said, while governing via repression could increase instability.
In the meantime, demonstrations have continued, with some reduced attendance that advocates put down to fear of arrest. Machado and Gonzalez have called for more marches on Saturday.
Asked how long the opposition can continue its campaign over the results, Machado told journalists: "Nobody knows."
Reporting by Vivian Sequera and Mayela Armas in Caracas and Tibisay Romero in Valencia, additional reporting by Mircely Guanipa in Caracas and Marco Aquino in Lima
Writing by Julia Symmes Cobb
Editing by Rosalba O'Brien
免責聲明: XM Group提供線上交易平台的登入和執行服務，允許個人查看和/或使用網站所提供的內容，但不進行任何更改或擴展其服務和訪問權限，並受以下條款與條例約束：（i）條款與條例；（ii）風險提示；（iii）完全免責聲明。網站內部所提供的所有資訊，僅限於一般資訊用途。請注意，我們所有的線上交易平台內容並不構成，也不被視為進入金融市場交易的邀約或邀請 。金融市場交易會對您的投資帶來重大風險。
所有缐上交易平台所發佈的資料，僅適用於教育/資訊類用途，不包含也不應被視爲適用於金融、投資稅或交易相關諮詢和建議，或是交易價格紀錄，或是任何金融商品或非應邀途徑的金融相關優惠的交易邀約或邀請。
本網站的所有XM和第三方所提供的内容，包括意見、新聞、研究、分析、價格其他資訊和第三方網站鏈接，皆爲‘按原狀’，並作爲一般市場評論所提供，而非投資建議。請理解和接受，所有被歸類為投資研究範圍的相關内容，並非爲了促進投資研究獨立性，而根據法律要求所編寫，而是被視爲符合營銷傳播相關法律與法規所編寫的内容。請確保您已詳讀並完全理解我們的非獨立投資研究提示和風險提示資訊，相關詳情請點擊 這裡查看。
