US retail sales unexpectedly rise in August
WASHINGTON, Sept 17 (Reuters) -U.S. retail sales unexpectedly rose in August, suggesting that the economy remained on a solid footing through much of the third quarter.
Retail sales increased 0.1% last month after an upwardly revised 1.1% surge in July, the Commerce Department's Census Bureau said on Tuesday.
Economists polled by Reuters had forecast retail sales, which are mostly goods and are not adjusted for inflation, falling 0.2% after a previously reported 1.0% jumpin July. Estimates ranged from a 0.6% decline to a 0.6% gain.
The report was published as Federal Reserve officials prepared to gather for a two-day policy meeting.
Most economists expect the U.S. central bank to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday, arguing that the economy is not in distress to warrant the half-percentage-point reduction being anticipated by financial markets.
The unemployment rate fell to 4.2% in August after four straight monthly increases pushed it to near a three-year high of 4.3% in July. The jobless rate has been largely driven by increased labor supply from immigration, which is now slowing.
Layoffs remain low by historical standards, leaving the labor market in a position to continue generating steady wage gains that are supporting consumer spending and the overall economy. Economists are split on the implications that a declining saving rate could have on spending.
Some view the saving rate, which dropped to 2.9% in July and is near levels last seen in 2008, as portending softer spending ahead. They also expect precautionary saving to rise if the labor market deteriorates, which could weigh on spending.
Others, however, argued that the government was not fully capturing income earned by undocumented immigrants. They also pointed to strong household balance sheets against the backdrop of higher house and stock prices as supportive of future consumer spending.
The Fed has maintained its benchmark overnight interest rate in the current 5.25%-5.50% range for more than a year, having raised it by 525 basis points in 2022 and 2023.
Retail sales excluding automobiles, gasoline, building materials and food services increased 0.3% last month after rising by an upwardly revised 0.4% in July.
These so-called core retail sales were previously reported to have gained 0.3% in July.
Core retail sales correspond most closely with the consumer spending component of gross domestic product. Consumer spending accelerated in the second quarter, putting it on a higher growth path heading into the July-September quarter.
Growth estimates for the third quarter are around a 2.5% annualized rate. The economy grew at a 3.0% pace in the second quarter.
Reporting by Lucia Mutikani; Editing by Chizu Nomiyama
免責聲明: XM Group提供線上交易平台的登入和執行服務，允許個人查看和/或使用網站所提供的內容，但不進行任何更改或擴展其服務和訪問權限，並受以下條款與條例約束：（i）條款與條例；（ii）風險提示；（iii）完全免責聲明。網站內部所提供的所有資訊，僅限於一般資訊用途。請注意，我們所有的線上交易平台內容並不構成，也不被視為進入金融市場交易的邀約或邀請 。金融市場交易會對您的投資帶來重大風險。
所有缐上交易平台所發佈的資料，僅適用於教育/資訊類用途，不包含也不應被視爲適用於金融、投資稅或交易相關諮詢和建議，或是交易價格紀錄，或是任何金融商品或非應邀途徑的金融相關優惠的交易邀約或邀請。
本網站的所有XM和第三方所提供的内容，包括意見、新聞、研究、分析、價格其他資訊和第三方網站鏈接，皆爲‘按原狀’，並作爲一般市場評論所提供，而非投資建議。請理解和接受，所有被歸類為投資研究範圍的相關内容，並非爲了促進投資研究獨立性，而根據法律要求所編寫，而是被視爲符合營銷傳播相關法律與法規所編寫的内容。請確保您已詳讀並完全理解我們的非獨立投資研究提示和風險提示資訊，相關詳情請點擊 這裡查看。
